Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jsames.2021.103293
Permafrost evolution in a mountain catchment near Santiago de Chile
Ruiz Pereira, S.; Marquardt, C.; Beriain, E.; Lambert, F.
通讯作者Lambert, F (corresponding author), Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Inst Geog, Santiago, Chile.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF SOUTH AMERICAN EARTH SCIENCES
ISSN0895-9811
EISSN1873-0647
出版年2021
卷号109
英文摘要The Chilean Central Andes near Santiago are a semi-arid region with substantial frozen water reserves in their high altitude cryosphere. Millions of people depend on the Andean cryosphere for freshwater supply. Over the last sixty years, global warming has altered the mountains' water balance, as the temperature rose, precipitation decreased, and deglacierization exposed hundreds of square kilometers. The distribution of solid water stored in soil permafrost and the potential effects of climate change on it are unknown. Here, we map favorable spots for permafrost occurrence at the Monos de Agua catchment, Aconcagua basin at 33 degrees S, between 3600 and 5100 m a.s.l.. We identify these cold spots based on ground surface temperature and incoming solar radiation between 2017 and 2019. We suggest that these locations currently present permafrost and frozen water might actually be there. We confirmed a body of frozen water at one of these cold spots using an electrical resistivity survey. Our mapping suggests that at least 15 +/- 7% of the catchment's surface is underlain by permafrost. Permafrost occurrence begins around 3600 m a.s.l. with low probability and only at locations with favorable conditions of low exposure and isolation. Permafrost occurrence probability increases with altitude, with the largest fraction present above 4200 m a.s.l. Our results suggest that the permafrost area in this region will decrease between 13 and 87% by the end of the century under the future global warming RCP scenarios. This event represents new challenges for the hydrological memory and water security planning in the Chilean Central Andes.
英文关键词Central andes Aconcagua basin Permafrost Degradation Aggradation
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000670267100002
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ROCK GLACIERS ; DRY ANDES ; TEMPERATURES ; IMPACTS ; HYDROCLIMATE ; VALIDATION ; CHEMISTRY ; DYNAMICS ; REGIONS
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/351006
作者单位[Ruiz Pereira, S.; Lambert, F.] Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Inst Geog, Santiago, Chile; [Ruiz Pereira, S.; Lambert, F.] Univ Chile, Ctr Climate & Resilience Res, Santiago, Chile; [Marquardt, C.] Pontificia Univ Catolica Chile, Engn Sch, DIEG DIM, Santiago, Chile; [Beriain, E.] GeoNomadic, Santiago, Chile
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Ruiz Pereira, S.,Marquardt, C.,Beriain, E.,et al. Permafrost evolution in a mountain catchment near Santiago de Chile[J],2021,109.
APA Ruiz Pereira, S.,Marquardt, C.,Beriain, E.,&Lambert, F..(2021).Permafrost evolution in a mountain catchment near Santiago de Chile.JOURNAL OF SOUTH AMERICAN EARTH SCIENCES,109.
MLA Ruiz Pereira, S.,et al."Permafrost evolution in a mountain catchment near Santiago de Chile".JOURNAL OF SOUTH AMERICAN EARTH SCIENCES 109(2021).
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