干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): System dynamics simulation of regional water supply and demand using a food-energy-water nexus approach: Application to Qazvin Plain, Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111843
	System dynamics simulation of regional water supply and demand using a food-energy-water nexus approach: Application to Qazvin Plain, Iran
	Naderi, Mohammad Mahdi; Mirchi, Ali; Bavani, Ali Reza Massah; Goharian, Erfan; Madani, Kaveh
通讯作者	Bavani, ARM (corresponding author), Univ Tehran, Irrigat & Drainage Dept, Aburaihan Campus, Tehran, Iran.
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT
ISSN	0301-4797
EISSN	1095-8630
出版年	2021
卷号	280
英文摘要	Understanding the complexity and feedbacks among food, energy, and water (FEW) systems is key to making informed decisions about sustainable development. This paper presents qualitative representation and quantitative system dynamics simulation of the water resources system in the Qazvin Plain, Iran, taking into account the energy intensity of water supply and interconnected water use sectors (e.g., urban, industrial, and agricultural). Qazvin Plain faces water resources challenges that are common to arid/semi-arid areas, including frequent droughts, declining surface water and groundwater, and increased urban and agricultural water demand. A system dynamics model is developed using historical data (2006-2016) to investigate the effects of anticipated dynamics of integrated water and energy sectors in the next two decades. The results of policy scenarios (2020-2039) demonstrate that the continuation of the existing management policies will cause severe damage to the water and energy sectors, pushing the system towards water resources limits to growth. An annual groundwater table decline of nearly 1 m is anticipated, indicating significant overshoot of the plain's natural recharge capacity, which may lead to the depletion of recoverable groundwater in the plain within the next three decades. The groundwater table decline will cause energy consumption of water supply to increase by about 32% (i.e., 380 GWh) to maintain irrigated agriculture. It is critical to implement a combination of water demand and supply management policies (e.g., net agricultural water savings and recycling treated wastewater) to delay the problem of water limits to growth in the region.
英文关键词	Water management Food-energy-water nexus System dynamics Human-water systems Qazvin plain
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000664839800016
WOS关键词	SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ; MANAGEMENT ; MODEL ; RESOURCES ; VULNERABILITY ; RELIABILITY ; IRRIGATION ; VALIDATION ; FRAMEWORK ; LAND
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350787
作者单位	[Naderi, Mohammad Mahdi; Bavani, Ali Reza Massah] Univ Tehran, Irrigat & Drainage Dept, Aburaihan Campus, Tehran, Iran; [Mirchi, Ali] Oklahoma State Univ, Dept Biosyst & Agr Engn, Stillwater, OK 74078 USA; [Goharian, Erfan] Univ South Carolina, Coll Engn & Comp, Civil & Environm Engn, 300 Main St Room C113B, Columbia, SC 29208 USA; [Madani, Kaveh] Yale Univ, Macmillan Ctr Int & Area Studies, Council Middle East Studies, New Haven, CT 06520 USA; [Madani, Kaveh] Imperial Coll London, Ctr Environm Policy, London, England
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Naderi, Mohammad Mahdi,Mirchi, Ali,Bavani, Ali Reza Massah,et al. System dynamics simulation of regional water supply and demand using a food-energy-water nexus approach: Application to Qazvin Plain, Iran[J],2021,280.
APA	Naderi, Mohammad Mahdi,Mirchi, Ali,Bavani, Ali Reza Massah,Goharian, Erfan,&Madani, Kaveh.(2021).System dynamics simulation of regional water supply and demand using a food-energy-water nexus approach: Application to Qazvin Plain, Iran.JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT,280.
MLA	Naderi, Mohammad Mahdi,et al."System dynamics simulation of regional water supply and demand using a food-energy-water nexus approach: Application to Qazvin Plain, Iran".JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 280(2021).