Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125670
Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China
An, Tingli; Wang, Lizhen; Gao, Xuerui; Han, Xinxueqi; Zhao, Yong; Lin, Lixing; Wu, Pute
通讯作者Gao, XR (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci & Minist Water Resources, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, 26 Xinong Rd, Yangling, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION
ISSN0959-6526
EISSN1879-1786
出版年2021
卷号288
英文摘要With fast development of economy and trade globalization, the water resources system has undergone profound changes due to the overconsumption of physical water and the complex virtual water flow. China is poor in water and rich in arable land for the north, but rich in water and poor in arable land for the south. The spatial mismatch of water and food production has posed a great threat to sustainable development. To quantify the virtual water flow with grain trade and evaluate its influence on the regional water resources system, this study simulated the interprovincial virtual water flow embedded in grain transportation based on a linear optimization model and assessed the water pressure induced by virtual water flow. Results show that the annual virtual water flow (as much as 73.46 billion m(3) in 2012) associated with interprovincial grain trade is mainly from the North to the South. The grain output areas are mainly located in the Northeast, Northwest, and the North China Plain, while the grain input areas are mainly distributed in the eastern and southern coastal provinces with well-developed economies. According to the estimation, when China's food demand reaches a peak of 650 million tons in 2030, the virtual water flow will further increase and the volume of virtual water flowing out of Northeast China will be up to 50 billion m(3), accounting for 90% of the total virtual water flow. The increasing the virtual water outflow in North China will severely exceed the local water resources capacity in the arid and semi-arid areas and have an obvious negative impact on sustainable development in Northern China. Further improving the water use efficiency, adjusting the structure of spatial grain production distribution and physical-virtual water coupled management are effective countermeasures to ensure the coordination safety of food and water in China. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
英文关键词Virtual water trade Virtual water flow Optimization simulation Multi-region input-output model
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000631538800088
WOS类目Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构西北农林科技大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350754
作者单位[An, Tingli; Han, Xinxueqi; Lin, Lixing] Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Water Resources & Architectural Engn, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China; [Wang, Lizhen; Zhao, Yong] China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China; [Gao, Xuerui; Wu, Pute] Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
An, Tingli,Wang, Lizhen,Gao, Xuerui,et al. Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China[J]. 西北农林科技大学,2021,288.
APA An, Tingli.,Wang, Lizhen.,Gao, Xuerui.,Han, Xinxueqi.,Zhao, Yong.,...&Wu, Pute.(2021).Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,288.
MLA An, Tingli,et al."Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 288(2021).
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