Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125670 |
Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China | |
An, Tingli; Wang, Lizhen; Gao, Xuerui; Han, Xinxueqi; Zhao, Yong; Lin, Lixing; Wu, Pute | |
通讯作者 | Gao, XR (corresponding author), Chinese Acad Sci & Minist Water Resources, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, 26 Xinong Rd, Yangling, Shaanxi, Peoples R China. |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION |
ISSN | 0959-6526 |
EISSN | 1879-1786 |
出版年 | 2021 |
卷号 | 288 |
英文摘要 | With fast development of economy and trade globalization, the water resources system has undergone profound changes due to the overconsumption of physical water and the complex virtual water flow. China is poor in water and rich in arable land for the north, but rich in water and poor in arable land for the south. The spatial mismatch of water and food production has posed a great threat to sustainable development. To quantify the virtual water flow with grain trade and evaluate its influence on the regional water resources system, this study simulated the interprovincial virtual water flow embedded in grain transportation based on a linear optimization model and assessed the water pressure induced by virtual water flow. Results show that the annual virtual water flow (as much as 73.46 billion m(3) in 2012) associated with interprovincial grain trade is mainly from the North to the South. The grain output areas are mainly located in the Northeast, Northwest, and the North China Plain, while the grain input areas are mainly distributed in the eastern and southern coastal provinces with well-developed economies. According to the estimation, when China's food demand reaches a peak of 650 million tons in 2030, the virtual water flow will further increase and the volume of virtual water flowing out of Northeast China will be up to 50 billion m(3), accounting for 90% of the total virtual water flow. The increasing the virtual water outflow in North China will severely exceed the local water resources capacity in the arid and semi-arid areas and have an obvious negative impact on sustainable development in Northern China. Further improving the water use efficiency, adjusting the structure of spatial grain production distribution and physical-virtual water coupled management are effective countermeasures to ensure the coordination safety of food and water in China. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Virtual water trade Virtual water flow Optimization simulation Multi-region input-output model |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000631538800088 |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | 西北农林科技大学 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350754 |
作者单位 | [An, Tingli; Han, Xinxueqi; Lin, Lixing] Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Water Resources & Architectural Engn, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China; [Wang, Lizhen; Zhao, Yong] China Inst Water Resources & Hydropower Res, State Key Lab Simulat & Regulat Water Cycle River, Beijing 100038, Peoples R China; [Gao, Xuerui; Wu, Pute] Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | An, Tingli,Wang, Lizhen,Gao, Xuerui,et al. Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China[J]. 西北农林科技大学,2021,288. |
APA | An, Tingli.,Wang, Lizhen.,Gao, Xuerui.,Han, Xinxueqi.,Zhao, Yong.,...&Wu, Pute.(2021).Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China.JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION,288. |
MLA | An, Tingli,et al."Simulation of the virtual water flow pattern associated with interprovincial grain trade and its impact on water resources stress in China".JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION 288(2021). |
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