Arid
DOI10.1016/j.jaridenv.2021.104481
Modeling biodiversity changes and conservation issues in a desert sky island
Gabriela Monroy-Gamboa, Alina; Cab-Sulub, Leticia; Lavariega, Mario C.; Ticul Alvarez-Castaneda, Sergio
通讯作者Alvarez-Castaneda, ST (corresponding author), Ctr Invest Biol Noroeste SC, Av Inst Politecn Nacl 195, La Paz 23096, Baja Calif Sur, Mexico.
来源期刊JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS
ISSN0140-1963
EISSN1095-922X
出版年2021
卷号189
英文摘要Sky islands are unique systems composed of well-defined biotic communities established along an elevation gradient. Habitat restrictions associated to climate change make the species vulnerable. This study aimed to forecast the changes in the distribution patterns, altitude and the slope effect in selected plant and vertebrate species inhabiting the sky island Sierra La Laguna as a result of the temperature increase in the near future. We modelled present-day and future potential geographic distributions of two sets of vertebrate and plant species one associated with dry warm conditions and another with cold conditions - using a maximum entropy algorithm. The future geographic distribution was modelled considering three global circulation models and two extreme representation concentration pathways. Our results showed an elevational change of species composition from cold to warm conditions, increasing the range of the xeric and decreasing of the mesic, with the potential extinction of the endemic species associated to the cooler conditions. The species associated to cooler environment probably could be restricted to the canyons in the western slope of the sierra, that might function as refugia. It is critical for the management of the protected area, and the restriction of human and economic activities in the western slope.
英文关键词Canyons Climate change Elevation Endemic species Refugia Sky island
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000644974900001
WOS关键词SPECIES DISTRIBUTION MODELS
WOS类目Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350704
作者单位[Gabriela Monroy-Gamboa, Alina; Cab-Sulub, Leticia; Ticul Alvarez-Castaneda, Sergio] Ctr Invest Biol Noroeste SC, Av Inst Politecn Nacl 195, La Paz 23096, Baja Calif Sur, Mexico; [Lavariega, Mario C.] Inst Politecn Nacl, Ctr Interdisciplinario Invest Desarrollo Integral, Unidad Oaxaca, Hornos 1003, Xoxocotlan 1003, Oaxaca, Mexico
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GB/T 7714
Gabriela Monroy-Gamboa, Alina,Cab-Sulub, Leticia,Lavariega, Mario C.,et al. Modeling biodiversity changes and conservation issues in a desert sky island[J],2021,189.
APA Gabriela Monroy-Gamboa, Alina,Cab-Sulub, Leticia,Lavariega, Mario C.,&Ticul Alvarez-Castaneda, Sergio.(2021).Modeling biodiversity changes and conservation issues in a desert sky island.JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS,189.
MLA Gabriela Monroy-Gamboa, Alina,et al."Modeling biodiversity changes and conservation issues in a desert sky island".JOURNAL OF ARID ENVIRONMENTS 189(2021).
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