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DOI	10.1002/joc.7076
	Extreme freezing in the Sonoran Desert, Mexico: Intense and short-duration events
	Cortes-Ramos, Jorge; Farfan, Luis M.; Brito-Castillo, Luis
通讯作者	Cortes-Ramos, J (corresponding author), Calle Miraflores 334, La Paz 23050, Baja California, Mexico.
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN	0899-8418
EISSN	1097-0088
出版年	2021
卷号	41 期号:8 页码:4339-4358
英文摘要	Freezing temperatures are responsible for population and ecosystem damage, and their spatial extent, frequency, and duration may change in a warming world. Few studies are available concerning the analysis of extreme freezing in Mexico, and none have evaluated the probability of occurrence. This study identified the characteristics of past and recent events by applying the statistical crossing theory method to calculate the cumulative density function (CDF) of the minimum temperature (T-min) values throughout the Sonoran Desert, including the Baja California Peninsula. Based on observations, spatial and temporal freezing evolution has been described during the period from 1970 to 2010, for which T-min is less than 0 degrees C and less than the fifth percentile of the monthly T-min. Since 1970, a quasi-homogeneous decrease has been observed in the number of freezing days. Extreme freezing was less frequent and severe during the early 1990s, which continued during the early 21st century when intense and persistent short events exhibited return periods above 20 years. After the 1990s, longer recurrence intervals for extreme T-min, which overlapped with the increase in T-min, implied a change in stationarity. This study found that cold-season warming lead to less-frequent severe freezing and a probability of change. These results represent a quantitative benchmark for current and upcoming validations of climate change scenarios.
英文关键词	crossing theory extreme freezing return periods Sonoran Desert warming tendency
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000630166100001
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350574
作者单位	[Cortes-Ramos, Jorge] CONACYT Ctr Invest Cient & Educ Super Ensenada, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Baja California, Mexico; [Farfan, Luis M.] Ctr Invest Cient & Educ Super Ensenada, Unidad La Paz, La Paz, Baja California, Mexico; [Brito-Castillo, Luis] Ctr Invest Biol Noroeste, Guaymas, Sonora, Mexico
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Cortes-Ramos, Jorge,Farfan, Luis M.,Brito-Castillo, Luis. Extreme freezing in the Sonoran Desert, Mexico: Intense and short-duration events[J],2021,41(8):4339-4358.
APA	Cortes-Ramos, Jorge,Farfan, Luis M.,&Brito-Castillo, Luis.(2021).Extreme freezing in the Sonoran Desert, Mexico: Intense and short-duration events.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,41(8),4339-4358.
MLA	Cortes-Ramos, Jorge,et al."Extreme freezing in the Sonoran Desert, Mexico: Intense and short-duration events".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 41.8(2021):4339-4358.