Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.5194/hess-25-565-2021 |
Flash drought onset over the contiguous United States: sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions | |
Osman, Mahmoud; Zaitchik, Benjamin F.; Badr, Hamada S.; Christian, Jordan, I; Tadesse, Tsegaye; Otkin, Jason A.; Anderson, Martha C. | |
通讯作者 | Osman, M (corresponding author), Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA. |
来源期刊 | HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES
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ISSN | 1027-5606 |
EISSN | 1607-7938 |
出版年 | 2021 |
卷号 | 25期号:2页码:565-581 |
英文摘要 | The term flash drought is frequently invoked to describe droughts that develop rapidly over a relatively short timescale. Despite extensive and growing research on flash drought processes, predictability, and trends, there is still no standard quantitative definition that encompasses all flash drought characteristics and pathways. Instead, diverse definitions have been proposed, supporting wide-ranging studies of flash drought but creating the potential for confusion as to what the term means and how to characterize it. Use of different definitions might also lead to different conclusions regarding flash drought frequency, predictability, and trends under climate change. In this study, we compared five previously published definitions, a newly proposed definition, and an operational satellite-based drought monitoring product to clarify conceptual differences and to investigate the sensitivity of flash drought inventories and trends to the choice of definition. Our analyses indicate that the newly introduced Soil Moisture Volatility Index definition effectively captures flash drought onset in both humid and semi-arid regions. Analyses also showed that estimates of flash drought frequency, spatial distribution, and seasonality vary across the contiguous United States depending upon which definition is used. Definitions differ in their representation of some of the largest and most widely studied flash droughts of recent years. Trend analysis indicates that definitions that include air temperature show significant increases in flash droughts over the past 40 years, but few trends are evident for definitions based on other surface conditions or fluxes. These results indicate that flash drought is a composite term that includes several types of events and that clarity in definition is critical when monitoring, forecasting, or projecting the drought phenomenon. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | gold, Green Submitted |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000618624200001 |
WOS关键词 | SUMMER HEAT-WAVE ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; PRECIPITATION DEFICIT ; US DROUGHT ; MORTALITY |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Water Resources |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350513 |
作者单位 | [Osman, Mahmoud; Zaitchik, Benjamin F.; Badr, Hamada S.] Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Baltimore, MD 21218 USA; [Christian, Jordan, I] Univ Oklahoma, Sch Meteorol, Norman, OK 73019 USA; [Tadesse, Tsegaye] Univ Nebraska, Natl Drought Mitigat Ctr, Lincoln, NE USA; [Otkin, Jason A.] Univ Wisconsin, Cooperat Inst Meteorol Satellite Studies, Space Sci & Engn Ctr, Madison, WI USA; [Anderson, Martha C.] ARS, Hydrol & Remote Sensing Lab, USDA, Beltsville, MD USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Osman, Mahmoud,Zaitchik, Benjamin F.,Badr, Hamada S.,et al. Flash drought onset over the contiguous United States: sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions[J],2021,25(2):565-581. |
APA | Osman, Mahmoud.,Zaitchik, Benjamin F..,Badr, Hamada S..,Christian, Jordan, I.,Tadesse, Tsegaye.,...&Anderson, Martha C..(2021).Flash drought onset over the contiguous United States: sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions.HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES,25(2),565-581. |
MLA | Osman, Mahmoud,et al."Flash drought onset over the contiguous United States: sensitivity of inventories and trends to quantitative definitions".HYDROLOGY AND EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCES 25.2(2021):565-581. |
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