干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Predicting shifts in distribution range and niche breadth of plant species in contrasting arid environments under climate change

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s10661-021-09160-5
	Predicting shifts in distribution range and niche breadth of plant species in contrasting arid environments under climate change
	Rather, Zubair Ahmad; Ahmad, Rameez; Dar, Abdul Rashid; Dar, Tanvir Ul Hassan; Khuroo, Anzar Ahmad
通讯作者	Rather, ZA (corresponding author), Univ Kashmir, Ctr Biodivers & Taxon, Dept Bot, Srinagar 190006, India.
来源期刊	ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT
ISSN	0167-6369
EISSN	1573-2959
出版年	2021
卷号	193 期号:7
英文摘要	Arid environments face extreme risk from contemporary climate change; therefore, predicting the shifts in species distribution range and niche breadth in these environments assumes urgent research priority. Here we report the potential distribution and predict future distribution range of two model plant species typically representing contrasting environments across Asia and Africa: hot-arid Ephedra foliata and cold-arid E. gerardiana. We adopted a comparative modelling approach and used occurrence points from extensive field surveys, supplemented with herbaria records and publicly available distribution data. Our study reveals that currently an area of 8.797334x10(6) km(2) (8.8%) is potentially suitable for E. foliata and nearly half 4.759326x10(6) km(2) (4.8%) for E. gerardiana. Under future climate change scenarios, distribution range of E. foliata is predicted to expand but contract in E. gerardiana. Similarly, E. foliata showed broader niche breadth which is predicted to increase under B1 (0.097-0.125) and B2 (0.878-0.930) climatic change scenarios. In contrast, E. gerardiana had narrower niche breadth and expected to further decrease under B1 (0.081-0.078) and B2 (0.878-0.854). The most influential bioclimatic variable governing the potential distribution and niche breadth of E. foliata was the precipitation of warmest quarter, whereas that of E. gerardiana was temperature seasonality. The results from our study can help in developing potential indicator plant species for assessment and monitoring of distribution range shifts in response to changing climate in the arid environments.
英文关键词	Species distribution Niche shifts Ephedra Hot-arid Cold-arid
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000670205300002
WOS关键词	DISTRIBUTION MODELS ; EPHEDRA GNETALES ; FUTURE ; DIVERSITY ; HYMENOPTERA ; HISTORY ; KASHMIR ; DESERT ; SINICA ; VALLEY
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350137
作者单位	[Rather, Zubair Ahmad; Ahmad, Rameez; Khuroo, Anzar Ahmad] Univ Kashmir, Ctr Biodivers & Taxon, Dept Bot, Srinagar 190006, India; [Dar, Abdul Rashid] Govt Degree Coll Boys, Dept Bot, Kupwara, Jammu & Kashmir, India; [Dar, Tanvir Ul Hassan] BGSB Univ, Dept Biotechnol, Rajouri, Jammu & Kashmir, India
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Rather, Zubair Ahmad,Ahmad, Rameez,Dar, Abdul Rashid,et al. Predicting shifts in distribution range and niche breadth of plant species in contrasting arid environments under climate change[J],2021,193(7).
APA	Rather, Zubair Ahmad,Ahmad, Rameez,Dar, Abdul Rashid,Dar, Tanvir Ul Hassan,&Khuroo, Anzar Ahmad.(2021).Predicting shifts in distribution range and niche breadth of plant species in contrasting arid environments under climate change.ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT,193(7).
MLA	Rather, Zubair Ahmad,et al."Predicting shifts in distribution range and niche breadth of plant species in contrasting arid environments under climate change".ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT 193.7(2021).