Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
| DOI | 10.1002/ecs2.3433 |
| State changes: insights from the US Long Term Ecological Research Network | |
| Zinnert, Julie C.; Nippert, Jesse B.; Rudgers, Jennifer A.; Pennings, Steven C.; Gonzalez, Grizelle; Alber, Merryl; Baer, Sara G.; Blair, John M.; Burd, Adrian; Collins, Scott L.; Craft, Christopher; Di Iorio, Daniela; Dodds, Walter K.; Groffman, Peter M.; Herbert, Ellen; Hladik, Christine; Li, Fan; Litvak, Marcy E.; Newsome, Seth; O'Donnell, John; Pockman, William T.; Schalles, John; Young, Donald R. | |
| 通讯作者 | Groffman, PM (corresponding author), CUNY, Grad Ctr, Adv Sci Res Ctr, New York, NY 10031 USA. ; Groffman, PM (corresponding author), Cary Inst Ecosyst Studies, Millbrook, NY 12545 USA. |
| 来源期刊 | ECOSPHERE
 |
| ISSN | 2150-8925 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 卷号 | 12期号:5 |
| 英文摘要 | Understanding the complex and unpredictable ways ecosystems are changing and predicting the state of ecosystems and the services they will provide in the future requires coordinated, long-term research. This paper is a product of a U.S. National Science Foundation funded Long Term Ecological Research (LTER) network synthesis effort that addressed anticipated changes in future populations and communities. Each LTER site described what their site would look like in 50 or 100 yr based on long-term patterns and responses to global change drivers in each ecosystem. Common themes emerged and predictions were grouped into state change, connectivity, resilience, time lags, and cascading effects. Here, we report on the state change theme, which includes examples from the Georgia Coastal (coastal marsh), Konza Prairie (mesic grassland), Luquillo (tropical forest), Sevilleta (arid grassland), and Virginia Coastal (coastal grassland) sites. Ecological thresholds (the point at which small changes in an environmental driver can produce an abrupt and persistent state change in an ecosystem quality, property, or phenomenon) were most commonly predicted. For example, in coastal ecosystems, sea-level rise and climate change could convert salt marsh to mangroves and coastal barrier dunes to shrub thicket. Reduced fire frequency has converted grassland to shrubland in mesic prairie, whereas overgrazing combined with drought drive shrub encroachment in arid grasslands. Lastly, tropical cloud forests are susceptible to climate-induced changes in cloud base altitude leading to shifts in species distributions. Overall, these examples reveal that state change is a likely outcome of global environmental change across a diverse range of ecosystems and highlight the need for long-term studies to sort out the causes and consequences of state change. The diversity of sites within the LTER network facilitates the emergence of overarching concepts about state changes as an important driver of ecosystem structure, function, services, and futures. |
| 英文关键词 | arid grassland coastal grassland coastal marsh sea-level rise shrub invasion Special Feature: Forecasting Earth's Ecosystems with Long-Term Ecological Research tallgrass prairie tropical mountain cloud forest |
| 类型 | Article |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 开放获取类型 | gold |
| 收录类别 | SCI-E |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000655473800039 |
| WOS关键词 | NORTHERN CHIHUAHUAN DESERT ; WOODY RIPARIAN VEGETATION ; PREDICTING TIPPING POINTS ; PINYON-JUNIPER WOODLANDS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BARRIER-ISLAND ; SHRUB ENCROACHMENT ; REGIME SHIFTS ; TALLGRASS PRAIRIE ; WINTER PRECIPITATION |
| WOS类目 | Ecology |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
| 资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/350052 |
| 作者单位 | [Zinnert, Julie C.; Young, Donald R.] Virginia Commonwealth Univ, Dept Biol, 1000 West Cary St, Richmond, VA 23284 USA; [Nippert, Jesse B.; Blair, John M.; Dodds, Walter K.] Kansas State Univ, Div Biol, Manhattan, KS 66506 USA; [Rudgers, Jennifer A.; Litvak, Marcy E.; Newsome, Seth; Pockman, William T.] Univ New Mexico, Dept Biol, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA; [Pennings, Steven C.; Li, Fan] Univ Houston, Dept Biol & Biochem, Houston, TX 77204 USA; [Gonzalez, Grizelle] USDA, Forest Serv, Int Inst Trop Forestry, Jardin Bot Sur,1201 Ceiba St Rio Piedras, San Juan, PR 00926 USA; [Alber, Merryl; Di Iorio, Daniela] Univ Georgia, Dept Marine Sci, Athens, GA 30602 USA; [Baer, Sara G.] Univ Kansas, Kansas Biol Survey, Lawrence, KS 66047 USA; [Baer, Sara G.] Univ Kansas, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, Lawrence, KS 66047 USA; [Craft, Christopher] Indiana Univ, Sch Publ & Environm Affairs, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA; [Groffman, Peter M.] CUNY, Grad Ctr, Adv Sci Res Ctr, New York, NY 10031 USA; [Groffman, Peter M.] Cary I... |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zinnert, Julie C.,Nippert, Jesse B.,Rudgers, Jennifer A.,et al. State changes: insights from the US Long Term Ecological Research Network[J],2021,12(5). |
| APA | Zinnert, Julie C..,Nippert, Jesse B..,Rudgers, Jennifer A..,Pennings, Steven C..,Gonzalez, Grizelle.,...&Young, Donald R..(2021).State changes: insights from the US Long Term Ecological Research Network.ECOSPHERE,12(5). |
| MLA | Zinnert, Julie C.,et al."State changes: insights from the US Long Term Ecological Research Network".ECOSPHERE 12.5(2021). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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