Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.3103/S1068373920120043 |
High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century | |
Pikaleva, A. A.; Shkol'nik, I. M.; Sternzat, A., V; Egorov, B. N.; Nadezhina, E. D. | |
通讯作者 | Pikaleva, AA (corresponding author), Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, Ul Karbysheva 7, St Petersburg 194021, Russia. |
来源期刊 | RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
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ISSN | 1068-3739 |
EISSN | 1934-8096 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 45期号:12页码:844-850 |
英文摘要 | Future changes in water deficit in Central Asia are analyzed based on the ensemble simulations with the system of the regional climate model (RCM) and atmospheric boundary layer model (ABLM) developed at the Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory. It is shown that by the middle of the 21st century the forecasted changes over the irrigated areas are greater by 2.5-4.0 times than those inferred from the standalone RCM simulation without irrigation effects. Future water deficit is forecasted to grow across Central Asia and will lead to 10% larger irrigation water demand per hectare in order to sustain cotton productivity, depending on the conditions of its cultivation at individual farms. The results of the study can be used for the planning of the rational use of agricultural lands and for the effective management of water resources. |
英文关键词 | Water deficit Arid regions of Central Asia Irrigated lands Numerical simulation Atmospheric boundary layer model Regional climate model |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000630742500004 |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/349175 |
作者单位 | [Pikaleva, A. A.; Shkol'nik, I. M.; Sternzat, A., V; Egorov, B. N.; Nadezhina, E. D.] Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, Ul Karbysheva 7, St Petersburg 194021, Russia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pikaleva, A. A.,Shkol'nik, I. M.,Sternzat, A., V,et al. High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century[J],2020,45(12):844-850. |
APA | Pikaleva, A. A.,Shkol'nik, I. M.,Sternzat, A., V,Egorov, B. N.,&Nadezhina, E. D..(2020).High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century.RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY,45(12),844-850. |
MLA | Pikaleva, A. A.,et al."High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century".RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY 45.12(2020):844-850. |
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