干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century

Arid

DOI	10.3103/S1068373920120043
	High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century
	Pikaleva, A. A.; Shkol'nik, I. M.; Sternzat, A., V; Egorov, B. N.; Nadezhina, E. D.
通讯作者	Pikaleva, AA (corresponding author), Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, Ul Karbysheva 7, St Petersburg 194021, Russia.
来源期刊	RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY
ISSN	1068-3739
EISSN	1934-8096
出版年	2020
卷号	45 期号:12 页码:844-850
英文摘要	Future changes in water deficit in Central Asia are analyzed based on the ensemble simulations with the system of the regional climate model (RCM) and atmospheric boundary layer model (ABLM) developed at the Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory. It is shown that by the middle of the 21st century the forecasted changes over the irrigated areas are greater by 2.5-4.0 times than those inferred from the standalone RCM simulation without irrigation effects. Future water deficit is forecasted to grow across Central Asia and will lead to 10% larger irrigation water demand per hectare in order to sustain cotton productivity, depending on the conditions of its cultivation at individual farms. The results of the study can be used for the planning of the rational use of agricultural lands and for the effective management of water resources.
英文关键词	Water deficit Arid regions of Central Asia Irrigated lands Numerical simulation Atmospheric boundary layer model Regional climate model
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000630742500004
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/349175
作者单位	[Pikaleva, A. A.; Shkol'nik, I. M.; Sternzat, A., V; Egorov, B. N.; Nadezhina, E. D.] Voeikov Main Geophys Observ, Ul Karbysheva 7, St Petersburg 194021, Russia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Pikaleva, A. A.,Shkol'nik, I. M.,Sternzat, A., V,et al. High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century[J],2020,45(12):844-850.
APA	Pikaleva, A. A.,Shkol'nik, I. M.,Sternzat, A., V,Egorov, B. N.,&Nadezhina, E. D..(2020).High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century.RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY,45(12),844-850.
MLA	Pikaleva, A. A.,et al."High-resolution Ensemble Climate Projections of Water Deficit in Arid Regions by the Mid-21st Century".RUSSIAN METEOROLOGY AND HYDROLOGY 45.12(2020):844-850.