Arid
DOI10.1021/acs.est.0c03978
Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios
Liu, Wenfeng; Ciais, Philippe; Liu, Xingcai; Yang, Hong; Hoekstra, Arjen Y.; Tang, Qiuhong; Wang, Xuhui; Li, Xiaodong; Cheng, Lei
通讯作者Liu, WF (corresponding author), China Agr Univ, Coll Water Resources & Civil Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China.
来源期刊ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
ISSN0013-936X
EISSN1520-5851
出版年2020
卷号54期号:22页码:14761-14771
英文摘要Phosphorus (P) losses from fertilized croplands to inland water bodies cause serious environmental problems. During wet years, high precipitation disproportionately contributes to P losses. We combine simulations of a gridded crop model and outputs from a number of hydrological and climate models to assess global impacts of changes in precipitation regimes on P losses during the 21st century. Under the baseline climate during 1991-2010, median P losses are 2.7 +/- 0.5 kg P ha(-1) year(-1) over global croplands of four major crops, while during wet years, P losses are 3.6 +/- 0.7 kg P ha(-1) year(-1). By the end of this century, P losses in wet years would reach 4.2 +/- 1.0 (RCP2.6) and 4.7 +/- 1.3 (RCP8.5) kg P ha(-1) year(-1) due to increases in high annual precipitation alone. The increases in P losses are the highest (up to 200%) in the arid regions of Middle East, Central Asia, and northern Africa. Consequently, in three quarters of the world's river basins, representing about 40% of total global runoff and home up to 7 billion people, P dilution capacity of freshwater could be exceeded due to P losses from croplands by the end of this century.
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000592863400063
WOS类目Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 ; 中国农业大学 ; 北京大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/348829
作者单位[Liu, Wenfeng; Ciais, Philippe; Wang, Xuhui] Univ Paris Saclay, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, LSCE IPSL, CEA CNRS UVSQ, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France; [Liu, Xingcai; Yang, Hong] Eawag, Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland; [Liu, Xingcai; Tang, Qiuhong] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Yang, Hong] Univ Basel, Dept Environm Sci, MGU, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland; [Hoekstra, Arjen Y.] Univ Twente, Twente Water Ctr, NL-7522 NB Enschede, Netherlands; [Hoekstra, Arjen Y.] Natl Univ Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Sch Publ Policy, Inst Water Policy, Singapore 259772, Singapore; [Tang, Qiuhong] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Wang, Xuhui] Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China; [Li, Xiaodong] Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Peoples R China; [Cheng, Lei] Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydr...
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Liu, Wenfeng,Ciais, Philippe,Liu, Xingcai,et al. Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 中国农业大学, 北京大学,2020,54(22):14761-14771.
APA Liu, Wenfeng.,Ciais, Philippe.,Liu, Xingcai.,Yang, Hong.,Hoekstra, Arjen Y..,...&Cheng, Lei.(2020).Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY,54(22),14761-14771.
MLA Liu, Wenfeng,et al."Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 54.22(2020):14761-14771.
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