Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1021/acs.est.0c03978 |
Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios | |
Liu, Wenfeng; Ciais, Philippe; Liu, Xingcai; Yang, Hong; Hoekstra, Arjen Y.; Tang, Qiuhong; Wang, Xuhui; Li, Xiaodong; Cheng, Lei | |
通讯作者 | Liu, WF (corresponding author), China Agr Univ, Coll Water Resources & Civil Engn, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China. |
来源期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
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ISSN | 0013-936X |
EISSN | 1520-5851 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 54期号:22页码:14761-14771 |
英文摘要 | Phosphorus (P) losses from fertilized croplands to inland water bodies cause serious environmental problems. During wet years, high precipitation disproportionately contributes to P losses. We combine simulations of a gridded crop model and outputs from a number of hydrological and climate models to assess global impacts of changes in precipitation regimes on P losses during the 21st century. Under the baseline climate during 1991-2010, median P losses are 2.7 +/- 0.5 kg P ha(-1) year(-1) over global croplands of four major crops, while during wet years, P losses are 3.6 +/- 0.7 kg P ha(-1) year(-1). By the end of this century, P losses in wet years would reach 4.2 +/- 1.0 (RCP2.6) and 4.7 +/- 1.3 (RCP8.5) kg P ha(-1) year(-1) due to increases in high annual precipitation alone. The increases in P losses are the highest (up to 200%) in the arid regions of Middle East, Central Asia, and northern Africa. Consequently, in three quarters of the world's river basins, representing about 40% of total global runoff and home up to 7 billion people, P dilution capacity of freshwater could be exceeded due to P losses from croplands by the end of this century. |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000592863400063 |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所 ; 中国农业大学 ; 北京大学 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/348829 |
作者单位 | [Liu, Wenfeng; Ciais, Philippe; Wang, Xuhui] Univ Paris Saclay, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, LSCE IPSL, CEA CNRS UVSQ, F-91191 Gif Sur Yvette, France; [Liu, Xingcai; Yang, Hong] Eawag, Swiss Fed Inst Aquat Sci & Technol, CH-8600 Dubendorf, Switzerland; [Liu, Xingcai; Tang, Qiuhong] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; [Yang, Hong] Univ Basel, Dept Environm Sci, MGU, CH-4003 Basel, Switzerland; [Hoekstra, Arjen Y.] Univ Twente, Twente Water Ctr, NL-7522 NB Enschede, Netherlands; [Hoekstra, Arjen Y.] Natl Univ Singapore, Lee Kuan Yew Sch Publ Policy, Inst Water Policy, Singapore 259772, Singapore; [Tang, Qiuhong] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China; [Wang, Xuhui] Peking Univ, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing 100871, Peoples R China; [Li, Xiaodong] Sichuan Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul & Mt River Engn, Chengdu 610065, Peoples R China; [Cheng, Lei] Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydr... |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Wenfeng,Ciais, Philippe,Liu, Xingcai,et al. Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios[J]. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所, 中国农业大学, 北京大学,2020,54(22):14761-14771. |
APA | Liu, Wenfeng.,Ciais, Philippe.,Liu, Xingcai.,Yang, Hong.,Hoekstra, Arjen Y..,...&Cheng, Lei.(2020).Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios.ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY,54(22),14761-14771. |
MLA | Liu, Wenfeng,et al."Global Phosphorus Losses from Croplands under Future Precipitation Scenarios".ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 54.22(2020):14761-14771. |
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