干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): The Value of Fast Transitioning to a Fully Sustainable Energy System: The Case of Turkmenistan

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DOI	10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3050817
	The Value of Fast Transitioning to a Fully Sustainable Energy System: The Case of Turkmenistan
	Satymov, Rasul; Bogdanov, Dmitrii; Breyer, Christian
通讯作者	Satymov, R (corresponding author), LUT Univ, Sch Energy Syst, Elect Engn, Lappeenranta 53850, Finland.
来源期刊	IEEE ACCESS
ISSN	2169-3536
出版年	2021
卷号	9 页码:13590-13611
英文摘要	The Paris Agreement within the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change aims to mitigate effects of greenhouse gas emissions to limit global warming. Turkmenistan ratified the Agreement and is a country with absolute reliance on fossil fuels and practically zero installed renewable energy capacity. This study provides potential transition scenarios to full sustainability for Turkmenistan in power, heat and transport sectors. Vast sunny desert plains of Turkmenistan could enable the country to switch to 100% renewable energy by 2050, with prospects to have 76% solar photovoltaics and 8.5% wind power capacities in a Best Policy Scenario. Seven different transition scenarios, with different GHG emissions cost assumptions and transition rates, have been analysed to demonstrate different possible paths towards full sustainability in a cost-efficient way. The results of the study demonstrate that a 100% renewable energy system, regardless of the transition rate, will be lower in cost than a continual reliance on fossil fuels. The scenario with the highest rate of renewable energy integration enables the least cost system and quickest reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. The results are expected to serve as a guideline to policymakers in Turkmenistan. The structural results for transition speed options and respective costs and benefits from switching a practically fully fossil fuels based system to a fully renewable energy system are expected to be transferable to many countries.
英文关键词	Heating systems Space heating Water heating Sustainable development Table lookup Statistics Sociology 100% renewable energy energy transition policy scenario sector coupling sustainable development Turkmenistan
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold, Green Submitted
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000611803000001
WOS类目	Computer Science, Information Systems ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic ; Telecommunications
WOS研究方向	Computer Science ; Engineering ; Telecommunications
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/347942
作者单位	[Satymov, Rasul; Bogdanov, Dmitrii; Breyer, Christian] LUT Univ, Sch Energy Syst, Elect Engn, Lappeenranta 53850, Finland
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Satymov, Rasul,Bogdanov, Dmitrii,Breyer, Christian. The Value of Fast Transitioning to a Fully Sustainable Energy System: The Case of Turkmenistan[J],2021,9:13590-13611.
APA	Satymov, Rasul,Bogdanov, Dmitrii,&Breyer, Christian.(2021).The Value of Fast Transitioning to a Fully Sustainable Energy System: The Case of Turkmenistan.IEEE ACCESS,9,13590-13611.
MLA	Satymov, Rasul,et al."The Value of Fast Transitioning to a Fully Sustainable Energy System: The Case of Turkmenistan".IEEE ACCESS 9(2021):13590-13611.