Arid
项目编号41501047
气候变化背景下中国北方玉米北扩潜力与风险及应对机制
何奇瑾
主持机构中国农业大学
开始日期2016
结束日期2018
资助经费240000(CNY)
项目类别青年科学基金项目
资助机构CN-NSFC(国家自然科学基金)
语种中文
国家中国
英文简介It is urgent to understand how maize northern expansion potential and risk in the north of China are and what the coping mechanisms are under climate change for solving the national needs of increasing the planting area of maize and ensuring national food security, and it is also a key problem for achieving the National new 100000000000 catties of grain production capacity planning (2009 - 2020). This project would focus on maize production in the northern region (Heilongjiang, Jilin, Liaoning and the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region) of China, where the climatic change is drastically. The project would be studied based on the breakthrough point of maize northern expansion potential and risk evaluation as well as the key scientific problems of climatic control factors determining maize cultivation distribution and comprehensive evaluation of main maize meteorological disaster risk. The project adopts comprehensive research methods, including theoretical analysis, field sowing experiment, model simulation, agricultural meteorological disaster risk assessment and ArcGIS spatial analysis. This project will reveal the climate control mechanisms of maize cultivation distribution, and will propose multiple maize meteorological disaster comprehensive risk assessment method for different maize growth stages and the whole growth period. And it will also develop the evaluation method and index system of maize northern expansion potential reflecting the effects of agriculture climatic resources and multiple maize meteorological disasters. The risk regionalization of maize northern expansion in the north of China and the countermeasures coping with climate change will be given in this project. The research results of this project will provide other regions or other crop to orderly adapt to climate change with the reference of evaluating the expansion potential and risk of crop cultivation area.
中文关键词气候变化适应 ; 农业气象 ; 农业气象灾害风险 ; 玉米种植 ; 春玉米
来源机构中国农业大学
资源类型项目
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/346909
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
何奇瑾.气候变化背景下中国北方玉米北扩潜力与风险及应对机制.2016.
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