Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
| 项目编号 | 41471448 |
| 水资源管理决策过程的不确定性和决策行为模拟研究 | |
| 盖迎春 | |
| 主持机构 | 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所 |
| 开始日期 | 2015 |
| 结束日期 | 2018 |
| 资助经费 | 800000(CNY) |
| 项目类别 | 面上项目 |
| 资助机构 | CN-NSFC（国家自然科学基金） |
| 语种 | 中文 |
| 国家 | 中国 |
| 英文简介 | During water resources management decision-making more risks could be faced because of increasing uncertainties that influence decision-making processes and complexity of water resources management problems extended. Objective of the project is to apply the human ethology and decision-making theory to water resources management, and to improve the water resources management decision support system framework. Accordingly, an uncertainty assessment model would be developed by analyzing the uncertainty sources that influence decision-making processes and taking into account the effects on external environment and decision-makers' perceive to decision-making processes. Then belief probability of uncertainty would be calculated for decision-makers. In addition, the reference point would be calculated by using framework theory, which indicates decision-makers' behavior change to risk aversion and bias during choice of decision-making references. Decision-making behavior simulation model would be established according to prospect theory. Finally all of models would be integrated into the effective water resources management decision support system to simulate decision-making processes of water resources management. The coming research is significance for water resources management decision-makers to improve efficiency of water resources management by means of developing new water resources management decision support system framework and decreasing decision-making risk of water resources management. |
| 来源机构 | 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院 |
| 资源类型 | 项目 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/345703 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | 盖迎春.水资源管理决策过程的不确定性和决策行为模拟研究.2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
| 个性服务 |
| 推荐该条目 |
| 保存到收藏夹 |
| 导出为Endnote文件 |
| 谷歌学术 |
| 谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
| [盖迎春]的文章 |
| 百度学术 |
| 百度学术中相似的文章 |
| [盖迎春]的文章 |
| 必应学术 |
| 必应学术中相似的文章 |
| [盖迎春]的文章 |
| 相关权益政策 |
| 暂无数据 |
| 收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
