干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario

Arid

	Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario
	Ma Danyang; Deng Haoyu; Yin Yunhe; Wu Shaohong; Zheng Du
来源期刊	Journal of Geographical Sciences
ISSN	1009-637X
出版年	2019
卷号	29 期号:1 页码:29-48
英文摘要	Changes in regional moisture patterns under the impact of climate change are an important focus for science. Based on the five global climate models (GCMs) participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), this paper projects trends in the area of arid/humid climate regions of China over the next 100 years. It also identifies the regions of arid/humid patterns change and analyzes their temperature sensitivity of responses. Results show that future change will be characterized by a significant contraction in the humid region and an expansion of arid/humid transition zones. In particular, the sub-humid region will expand by 28.69% in the long term (2070-2099) relative to the baseline period (1981-2010). Under 2°C and 4°C warming, the area of the arid/humid transition zones is projected to increase from 10.17% to 13.72% of the total of China. The humid region south of the Huaihe River Basin, which is affected mainly by a future increase in evapotranspiration, will retreat southward and change to a sub-humid region. In general, the sensitivity of responses of arid/humid patterns to climate change in China will intensify with accelerating global warming.
英文关键词	arid/humid patterns climate change sensitivity aridity index China
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Bronze
收录类别	CSCD
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
CSCD记录号	CSCD:6412349
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/336061
作者单位	Ma Danyang, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS;;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;;Henan Province Development and Reform Commission, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS;;;;, ;;;;Zhengzhou, Beijing;;Beijing;; 100101;;100049;;450018.; Deng Haoyu, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS;;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS;;, ;;, Beijing;;Beijing 100101;;100049.; Wu Shaohong, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS;;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS;;, ;;, Beijing;;Beijing 100101;;100049.; Zheng Du, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS;;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS;;, ;;, Beijing;;Beijing 100101;;100049.; Yin Yunhe, Institute of Geographic Sciences and ...
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ma Danyang,Deng Haoyu,Yin Yunhe,et al. Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario[J],2019,29(1):29-48.
APA	Ma Danyang,Deng Haoyu,Yin Yunhe,Wu Shaohong,&Zheng Du.(2019).Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario.Journal of Geographical Sciences,29(1),29-48.
MLA	Ma Danyang,et al."Sensitivity of arid/humid patterns in China to future climate change under a high-emissions scenario".Journal of Geographical Sciences 29.1(2019):29-48.