Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
The vulnerability evolution and simulation of social-ecological systems in a semi-arid area: A case study of Yulin City, China | |
Chen Jia; Yang Xinjun; Yin Sha; Wu Kongsen; Deng Mengqi; Wen Xin | |
来源期刊 | Journal of Geographical Sciences
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ISSN | 1009-637X |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 28期号:2页码:152-174 |
英文摘要 | Taking the semi-arid area of Yulin City as an example, this study improves the vulnerability assessment methods and techniques at the county scale using the VSD(Vulnerability Scoping Diagram) assessment framework, integrates the VSD framework and the SERV(Spatially Explicit Resilience-Vulnerability) model, and decomposes the system vulnerability into three dimensions, i.e., exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. Firstly, with the full understanding of the background and exposure risk source of the research area, the vulnerability indexes were screened by the SERV model, and the index system was constructed to assess the characteristics of the local eco-environment. Secondly, with the aid of RS and GIS, this study measured the spatial differentiation and evolution of the social-ecological systems in Yulin City during 2000-2015 and explored intrinsic reasons for the spatial-temporal evolution of vulnerability. The results are as follows:(1) The spatial pattern of Yulin City's SESs vulnerability is high in northwest and southeast and low along the Great Wall. Although the degree of system vulnerability decreased significantly during the study period and the system development trend improved, there is a sharp spatial difference between the system vulnerability and exposure risk.(2) The evolution of system vulnerability is influenced by the risk factors of exposure, and the regional vulnerability and the spatial heterogeneity of exposure risk are affected by the social sensitivity, economic adaptive capacity and other factors. Finally, according to the uncertainty of decision makers, the future scenarios of regional vulnerability are simulated under different decision risks by taking advantage of the OWA multi-criteria algorithm, and the vulnerability of the regional system under different development directions was predicted based on the decision makers' rational risk interval. |
英文关键词 | social-ecological systems(SESs) VSD assessment framework vulnerability Yulin City |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | Bronze |
收录类别 | CSCD |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
CSCD记录号 | CSCD:6154266 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/335907 |
作者单位 | Chen Jia, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University;;Northwest University, ;;Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, Xi'an;;Xi'an, ;; 710127;;710127.; Yang Xinjun, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University;;Northwest University, ;;Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, Xi'an;;Xi'an, ;; 710127;;710127.; Yin Sha, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710127, China.; Wu Kongsen, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710127, China.; Deng Mengqi, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710127, China.; Wen Xin, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi'an, Shaanxi 710127, China. |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen Jia,Yang Xinjun,Yin Sha,et al. The vulnerability evolution and simulation of social-ecological systems in a semi-arid area: A case study of Yulin City, China[J],2018,28(2):152-174. |
APA | Chen Jia,Yang Xinjun,Yin Sha,Wu Kongsen,Deng Mengqi,&Wen Xin.(2018).The vulnerability evolution and simulation of social-ecological systems in a semi-arid area: A case study of Yulin City, China.Journal of Geographical Sciences,28(2),152-174. |
MLA | Chen Jia,et al."The vulnerability evolution and simulation of social-ecological systems in a semi-arid area: A case study of Yulin City, China".Journal of Geographical Sciences 28.2(2018):152-174. |
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