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	NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future
	Yuan Quanzhi; Wu Shaohong; Dai Erfu; Zhao Dongsheng; Ren Ping; Zhang Xueru
来源期刊	Journal of Geographical Sciences
ISSN	1009-637X
出版年	2017
卷号	27 期号:2 页码:131-142
英文摘要	Using the Integrated Biosphere Simulator, a dynamic vegetation model, this study initially simulated the net primary productivity (NPP) dynamics of Chinas potential vegetation in the past 55 years (1961-2015) and in the future 35 years (2016-2050). Then, taking the NPP of the potential vegetation in average climate conditions during 1986-2005 as the basis for evaluation, this study examined whether the potential vegetation adapts to climate change or not. Meanwhile, the degree of inadaptability was evaluated. Finally, the NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation was evaluated by synthesizing the frequency and degrees of inadaptability to climate change. In the past 55 years, the NPP of desert ecosystems in the south of the Tianshan Mountains and grassland ecosystems in the north of China and in western Tibetan Plateau was prone to the effect of climate change. The NPP of most forest ecosystems was not prone to the influence of climate change. The low NPP vulnerability to climate change of the evergreen broad-leaved and coniferous forests was observed. Furthermore, the NPP of the desert ecosystems in the north of the Tianshan Mountains and grassland ecosystems in the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau also had low vulnerability to climate change. In the next 35 years, the NPP vulnerability to climate change would reduce the forest- steppe in the Songliao Plain, the deciduous broad-leaved forests in the warm temperate zone, and the alpine steppe in the central and western Tibetan Plateau. The NPP vulnerability would significantly increase of the temperate desert in the Junggar Basin and the alpine desert in the Kunlun Mountains. The NPP vulnerability of the subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests would also increase. The area of the regions with increased vulnerability would account for 27.5% of China.
英文关键词	climate change vulnerability potential vegetation net primary productivity IBIS China
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Bronze
收录类别	CSCD
WOS研究方向	Plant Sciences
CSCD记录号	CSCD:5911780
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/335755
作者单位	Yuan Quanzhi, Sichuan Normal University, Key Lab of Land Resources Evaluation and Monitoring in Southwest, Ministry of Education, Chengdu, Sichuan 610068, China.; Ren Ping, Sichuan Normal University, Key Lab of Land Resources Evaluation and Monitoring in Southwest, Ministry of Education, Chengdu, Sichuan 610068, China.; Wu Shaohong, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS, Beijing 100101, China.; Dai Erfu, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS, Beijing 100101, China.; Zhao Dongsheng, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Key Laboratory of Land Surface Pattern and Simulation, CAS, Beijing 100101, China.; Zhang Xueru, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074.
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yuan Quanzhi,Wu Shaohong,Dai Erfu,et al. NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future[J],2017,27(2):131-142.
APA	Yuan Quanzhi,Wu Shaohong,Dai Erfu,Zhao Dongsheng,Ren Ping,&Zhang Xueru.(2017).NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future.Journal of Geographical Sciences,27(2),131-142.
MLA	Yuan Quanzhi,et al."NPP vulnerability of the potential vegetation of China to climate change in the past and future".Journal of Geographical Sciences 27.2(2017):131-142.