干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Climate Change: Apocalyptic Prognosis and Reality

Arid

DOI	10.15421/2020_96
	Climate Change: Apocalyptic Prognosis and Reality
	Bondar, V. S.; Fursa, A., V; Gumentyk, M. Ya; Svystunova, I., V
通讯作者	Bondar, VS
来源期刊	UKRAINIAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY
ISSN	2520-2138
出版年	2020
卷号	10 期号:2 页码:273-278
英文摘要	Purpose: The purpose is to clarify the concept of "climate" and to reveal the essence of its modern changes, as well as the role of real processes and factors that cause warming in their cause-effect relationships. Methods: The following research methods have been used: induction and deduction - for the formulation of the corresponding paradigm, taking into account the achievements of domestic and foreign scientists; systematic analysis - in determining existing ideas and hypotheses on climate; synthesis - to define concepts and forecasts on this topic; expert estimates - for the study of global temperatures and abnormal precipitation; statistical - for processing data on the influence of a number of factors on climate change; forecasting - according to indicators of air temperature, precipitation and other climatic elements. Results: It is established that the catastrophic consequences of climate warming on planet Earth in the scientific community and civil society are clearly exaggerated. Especially in providing exclusivity to the anthropogenic impact on climate change in such manifestations as an increase in population, reduction of cultivated areas, the disappearance of forests, the spread of deserts, as well as air pollution and even "loss of the genetic basis of the plant and animal world", etc., which has a negative psychological effect on people in anticipation of apocalyptic consequences. At the same time, the centuries-old regularity of regular cyclic alternation of warm and cold periods in the history of the Earth caused by a change in the activity of the Sun under the influence of a galactic magnetic field, orbital cycles of the planets and the gravitational component of the Universe is not sufficiently taken into account. The position on the exclusive role of CO2 in creating the greenhouse effect is controversial, whereas it is the result of the combined action of not only CO2, but mainly water vapor, methane, nitrous oxide, sulfur hexachlorides, aerosols, which occupy 1% of the volume, and CO2 only 0.035%. In addition, increasing CO2 concentrations do not necessarily lead to warming (mid-twentieth century). This applies to the << destruction >> of the ozone layer. The fact of atmospheric pollution by emissions of volcanoes, ingredients of natural metabolic processes of biological and chemical origin in the ocean and on land, endogenous processes inside the Earth, etc., is also underestimated. A number of climatologists have proved that the current "global warming" is residual from the last spike in solar activity, formed due to a decrease in negative winter temperatures over the past 40-50 years, and should change with another cooling with a minimum in 2065. Conclusions: The causes of climate warming in recent decades, mainly associated with the activities of the Sun, ocean, land and atmosphere, are substantiated; the concept of "climate" has been improved, the forecast of its changes in the near future is substantiated - until 2065. The fallacy of the statement about the effect of overpopulation of the planet Earth on food shortages, the controversy of the hypothesis about the exclusive role of CO2, the fallacy of the statements about the role of the Earth's internal heat in climate change, water shortage are proved, etc
英文关键词	Climate Global warming Anthropogenic and cosmological factors Cyclicality of climate change The role of the sun Atmosphere Ocean Land
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	DOAJ Gold
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000548309900040
WOS类目	Biology
WOS研究方向	Life Sciences & Biomedicine - Other Topics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/334474
作者单位	[Bondar, V. S.; Gumentyk, M. Ya] NAAS, Inst Bioenergy Crops & Sugar Beet, 25 Klinichna St, UA-03141 Kiev, Ukraine; [Fursa, A., V] Natl Univ Life & Environm Sci Ukraine, 15 Heroin Oborony St, UA-03041 Kiev, Ukraine; [Svystunova, I., V] Natl Univ Life & Environm Sci Ukraine, 13 Heroiv Oborony St, UA-03041 Kiev, Ukraine
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Bondar, V. S.,Fursa, A., V,Gumentyk, M. Ya,et al. Climate Change: Apocalyptic Prognosis and Reality[J],2020,10(2):273-278.
APA	Bondar, V. S.,Fursa, A., V,Gumentyk, M. Ya,&Svystunova, I., V.(2020).Climate Change: Apocalyptic Prognosis and Reality.UKRAINIAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY,10(2),273-278.
MLA	Bondar, V. S.,et al."Climate Change: Apocalyptic Prognosis and Reality".UKRAINIAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY 10.2(2020):273-278.