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	Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques
	Arabeyyat, Omar; Shatnawi, Nawras; Matouq, Mohammed
通讯作者	Arabeyyat, O
来源期刊	JORDAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
ISSN	1993-0461
EISSN	2225-157X
出版年	2018
卷号	12 期号:3 页码:359-368
英文摘要	This paper aims to simulate and predict the amounts of rainfall in semi-arid regions using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) input model. The rainfall precipitation readings of 26 stations for the last 30 years were used as an input for the ANN model. A code, developed in MATLAB at different hidden layers and delay times, was used for this purpose to select the best combination that could simulate the case in Jordan. The results revealed that a reduction of 1.4% in the annual average rainfall amounts in the next 10 years might happen. The simulation criteria depended on changing number of delays and number of neurons (hidden layers), which showed that using 2 delay inputs and 8 neurons gives best training for the ANN as per the computed mean squared error (MSE).
英文关键词	Rainfall NARX GIS Time series prediction Time delay Neural network
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000436402200001
WOS关键词	ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS ; TIME-SERIES PREDICTION ; FEEDFORWARD
WOS类目	Engineering, Civil
WOS研究方向	Engineering
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/332846
作者单位	[Arabeyyat, Omar] Al Balqa Appl Univ, Dept Comp Engn, Amman, Jordan; [Shatnawi, Nawras] Al Balqa Appl Univ, Dept Surveying & Geomat Engn, Amman, Jordan; [Matouq, Mohammed] Al Balqa Appl Univ, Dept Chem Engn, Amman, Jordan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Arabeyyat, Omar,Shatnawi, Nawras,Matouq, Mohammed. Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques[J],2018,12(3):359-368.
APA	Arabeyyat, Omar,Shatnawi, Nawras,&Matouq, Mohammed.(2018).Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques.JORDAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING,12(3),359-368.
MLA	Arabeyyat, Omar,et al."Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques".JORDAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING 12.3(2018):359-368.