Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques | |
Arabeyyat, Omar; Shatnawi, Nawras; Matouq, Mohammed | |
通讯作者 | Arabeyyat, O |
来源期刊 | JORDAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
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ISSN | 1993-0461 |
EISSN | 2225-157X |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 12期号:3页码:359-368 |
英文摘要 | This paper aims to simulate and predict the amounts of rainfall in semi-arid regions using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) input model. The rainfall precipitation readings of 26 stations for the last 30 years were used as an input for the ANN model. A code, developed in MATLAB at different hidden layers and delay times, was used for this purpose to select the best combination that could simulate the case in Jordan. The results revealed that a reduction of 1.4% in the annual average rainfall amounts in the next 10 years might happen. The simulation criteria depended on changing number of delays and number of neurons (hidden layers), which showed that using 2 delay inputs and 8 neurons gives best training for the ANN as per the computed mean squared error (MSE). |
英文关键词 | Rainfall NARX GIS Time series prediction Time delay Neural network |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | ESCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000436402200001 |
WOS关键词 | ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORKS ; TIME-SERIES PREDICTION ; FEEDFORWARD |
WOS类目 | Engineering, Civil |
WOS研究方向 | Engineering |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/332846 |
作者单位 | [Arabeyyat, Omar] Al Balqa Appl Univ, Dept Comp Engn, Amman, Jordan; [Shatnawi, Nawras] Al Balqa Appl Univ, Dept Surveying & Geomat Engn, Amman, Jordan; [Matouq, Mohammed] Al Balqa Appl Univ, Dept Chem Engn, Amman, Jordan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Arabeyyat, Omar,Shatnawi, Nawras,Matouq, Mohammed. Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques[J],2018,12(3):359-368. |
APA | Arabeyyat, Omar,Shatnawi, Nawras,&Matouq, Mohammed.(2018).Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques.JORDAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING,12(3),359-368. |
MLA | Arabeyyat, Omar,et al."Nonlinear Multivariate Rainfall Prediction in Jordan Using NARX-ANN Model with GIS Techniques".JORDAN JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING 12.3(2018):359-368. |
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