Arid
DOI10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.04.004
Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin
Elias, E. H.; Rango, A.; Steele, C. M.; Mejia, J. F.; Smith, R.
通讯作者Elias, EH
来源期刊JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
EISSN2214-5818
出版年2015
卷号3页码:525-546
英文摘要Study region: Upper Rio Grande, Colorado and New Mexico, USA. Study focus: Climate change is predicted to further limit the water availability of the arid southwestern U.S. We use the snowmelt runoff model to evaluate impacts of climate change on snow covered area (SCA), streamflow timing and runoff volume. Simulations investigate four future conditions using models downscaled to existing climate stations. Twenty-four subbasins of the Upper Rio Grande containing appreciable snowmelt and a long-term gauging station are simulated. New hydrological insights for the region: Future annual volume is 193-204 million m(3) more to 448-476 million m(3) less than the pre-climate change value of 2688 million m3. There is disparity between increased volume in wetter simulations (+7%) and decreased volume (-18%) in drier simulations. SCA on 1 April reduced by approximately 50% in all but the warmer/wetter climate. Peak flow is 14-24 days early in the future climates. Among the 24 subbasins there is considerable range in mean melt season SCA (-40% to -100%), total volume change (-30% to +57%) and runoff timing advancement indicating that climate change is best evaluated at the subbasin scale. Daily hydrographs show higher streamflow in March and April, but less from mid-May until the end of the water year. The large decrease in volume in May, June and July will compound water management challenges in the region. Published by Elsevier B.V.
英文关键词Snowmelt runoff model Climate change Upper Rio Grande Water resources
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型DOAJ Gold
收录类别ESCI
WOS记录号WOS:000436600400026
WOS关键词WESTERN ; RUNOFF ; STREAMFLOW ; SNOWPACK ; SHIFTS
WOS类目Water Resources
WOS研究方向Water Resources
来源机构New Mexico State University ; Desert Research Institute
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/331412
作者单位[Elias, E. H.; Rango, A.; Steele, C. M.; Smith, R.] New Mexico State Univ, USDA ARS, Jornada Expt Range, POB 3003,MSC 3JER, Las Cruces, NM 88003 USA; [Mejia, J. F.] Desert Res Inst, Reno, NV 89512 USA
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Elias, E. H.,Rango, A.,Steele, C. M.,et al. Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin[J]. New Mexico State University, Desert Research Institute,2015,3:525-546.
APA Elias, E. H.,Rango, A.,Steele, C. M.,Mejia, J. F.,&Smith, R..(2015).Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,3,525-546.
MLA Elias, E. H.,et al."Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 3(2015):525-546.
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