Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.04.004 |
Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin | |
Elias, E. H.; Rango, A.; Steele, C. M.; Mejia, J. F.; Smith, R. | |
通讯作者 | Elias, EH |
来源期刊 | JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES
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EISSN | 2214-5818 |
出版年 | 2015 |
卷号 | 3页码:525-546 |
英文摘要 | Study region: Upper Rio Grande, Colorado and New Mexico, USA. Study focus: Climate change is predicted to further limit the water availability of the arid southwestern U.S. We use the snowmelt runoff model to evaluate impacts of climate change on snow covered area (SCA), streamflow timing and runoff volume. Simulations investigate four future conditions using models downscaled to existing climate stations. Twenty-four subbasins of the Upper Rio Grande containing appreciable snowmelt and a long-term gauging station are simulated. New hydrological insights for the region: Future annual volume is 193-204 million m(3) more to 448-476 million m(3) less than the pre-climate change value of 2688 million m3. There is disparity between increased volume in wetter simulations (+7%) and decreased volume (-18%) in drier simulations. SCA on 1 April reduced by approximately 50% in all but the warmer/wetter climate. Peak flow is 14-24 days early in the future climates. Among the 24 subbasins there is considerable range in mean melt season SCA (-40% to -100%), total volume change (-30% to +57%) and runoff timing advancement indicating that climate change is best evaluated at the subbasin scale. Daily hydrographs show higher streamflow in March and April, but less from mid-May until the end of the water year. The large decrease in volume in May, June and July will compound water management challenges in the region. Published by Elsevier B.V. |
英文关键词 | Snowmelt runoff model Climate change Upper Rio Grande Water resources |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | DOAJ Gold |
收录类别 | ESCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000436600400026 |
WOS关键词 | WESTERN ; RUNOFF ; STREAMFLOW ; SNOWPACK ; SHIFTS |
WOS类目 | Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Water Resources |
来源机构 | New Mexico State University ; Desert Research Institute |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/331412 |
作者单位 | [Elias, E. H.; Rango, A.; Steele, C. M.; Smith, R.] New Mexico State Univ, USDA ARS, Jornada Expt Range, POB 3003,MSC 3JER, Las Cruces, NM 88003 USA; [Mejia, J. F.] Desert Res Inst, Reno, NV 89512 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Elias, E. H.,Rango, A.,Steele, C. M.,et al. Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin[J]. New Mexico State University, Desert Research Institute,2015,3:525-546. |
APA | Elias, E. H.,Rango, A.,Steele, C. M.,Mejia, J. F.,&Smith, R..(2015).Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin.JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES,3,525-546. |
MLA | Elias, E. H.,et al."Assessing climate change impacts on water availability of snowmelt-dominated basins of the Upper Rio Grande basin".JOURNAL OF HYDROLOGY-REGIONAL STUDIES 3(2015):525-546. |
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