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Arid

DOI	10.2478/s13531-013-0151-4
	Long term effect of climate change on rainfall in northwest Iraq
	Al-Ansari, Nadhir; Abdellatif, Mawada; Ali, Salahalddin S.; Knutsson, Sven
通讯作者	Al-Ansari, N
来源期刊	OPEN ENGINEERING
ISSN	2391-5439
出版年	2014
卷号	4 期号:3 页码:250-263
英文摘要	Middle East, like North Africa, is considered as arid to semi-arid region. Water shortages in this region, represents an extremely important factor in stability of the region and an integral element in its economic development and prosperity. Iraq was an exception due to presence of Tigris and Euphrates Rivers. After the 1970s the situation began to deteriorate due to continuous decrease in discharges of these rivers, are expected to dry by 2040 with the current climate change. In the present paper, long rainfall trends up to the year 2099 were studied in Sinjar area, northwest of Iraq, to give an idea about its future prospects. Two emission scenarios, used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (A2 and B2), were employed to study the long term rainfall trends in northwestern Iraq. All seasons consistently project a drop in daily rainfall for all future periods with the summer season is expected to have more reduction compared to other seasons. Generally the average rainfall trend shows a continuous decrease. The overall average annual rainfall is slightly above 210 mm. In view of these results, prudent water management strategies have to be adopted to overcome or mitigate consequences of future severe water crisis.
英文关键词	Rainfall trend GCM ANN Sinjar Iraq
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Green Published, Green Accepted
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000218400200003
WOS类目	Engineering, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向	Engineering
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/330772
作者单位	[Al-Ansari, Nadhir; Knutsson, Sven] Lulea Univ Technol, Civil Environm & Nat Resources Engn, S-97187 Lulea, Sweden; [Abdellatif, Mawada] Liverpool John Moores Univ, Sch Built Environm, Liverpool L3 3AF, Merseyside, England; [Ali, Salahalddin S.] Sulaimani Univ, Kurdistan Region, Iraq
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Al-Ansari, Nadhir,Abdellatif, Mawada,Ali, Salahalddin S.,et al. Long term effect of climate change on rainfall in northwest Iraq[J],2014,4(3):250-263.
APA	Al-Ansari, Nadhir,Abdellatif, Mawada,Ali, Salahalddin S.,&Knutsson, Sven.(2014).Long term effect of climate change on rainfall in northwest Iraq.OPEN ENGINEERING,4(3),250-263.
MLA	Al-Ansari, Nadhir,et al."Long term effect of climate change on rainfall in northwest Iraq".OPEN ENGINEERING 4.3(2014):250-263.