干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Dry spells analysis over the Mediterranean basin for present climate and climate change conditions using ENSEMBLES regional climate models

Arid

DOI	10.5209/rev_FITE.2013.v25.43439
	Dry spells analysis over the Mediterranean basin for present climate and climate change conditions using ENSEMBLES regional climate models
	Lopez-Franca, Noelia; Sanchez, Enrique; Romera, Raquel; Dominguez, Marta
通讯作者	Lopez-Franca, N
来源期刊	FISICA DE LA TIERRA
ISSN	0214-4557
EISSN	1988-2440
出版年	2013
卷号	25 页码:123-136
英文摘要	The hydrological stresses and specially the dry spells are one of the main climatic features of the Mediterranean regions and it can affect and lead to relevant impacts on ecosystems, agriculture and population. It is proposed the analysis of the annual mean dry spells length (DSML) from a group of Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations of 25km horizontal resolution from ENSEMBLES European project. The capability of these RCMs to reproduce the DSML compared with ECAv6 gridded observational database is first studied in the baseline period (1961-2000). Then percentage change of the DSML from these RCMs forced by different Global Climate Models (GCMs) for future conditions (2021-2050) under A1B emission scenario respect to historical (1951-1980) climate conditions is evaluated. The results show the success of RCMs to reproduce the overall observed dry spells characteristics. A North-to-South gradient of DSML index along the Mediterranean basin is obtained in the baseline and historical periods, with the maximum length values located over Sahara desert and minimum over the mountain ranges on the northern part of the basin. High values also can be observed in the southern half of the Iberian Peninsula, western and southern coast of the Mediterranean Sea. The climate change analysis indicates a common increase of the DSML over the Mediterranean basin for all the GCM-forced RCM simulations.
英文关键词	Dry spells Regional Climate Models Mediterranean basin Climate Change
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Other Gold
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000215046200008
WOS关键词	EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; IBERIAN PENINSULA ; TEMPORAL ANALYSIS ; SPAIN ; 2ND-HALF ; PATTERNS ; TRENDS
WOS类目	Geochemistry & Geophysics
WOS研究方向	Geochemistry & Geophysics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/330312
作者单位	[Lopez-Franca, Noelia; Romera, Raquel; Dominguez, Marta] Univ Castilla La Mancha, Inst Ciencias Ambientales ICAM, Ciudad Real, Spain; [Sanchez, Enrique] Univ Castilla La Mancha, Fac Ciencias Ambientales & Bioquim, Ciudad Real, Spain
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Lopez-Franca, Noelia,Sanchez, Enrique,Romera, Raquel,et al. Dry spells analysis over the Mediterranean basin for present climate and climate change conditions using ENSEMBLES regional climate models[J],2013,25:123-136.
APA	Lopez-Franca, Noelia,Sanchez, Enrique,Romera, Raquel,&Dominguez, Marta.(2013).Dry spells analysis over the Mediterranean basin for present climate and climate change conditions using ENSEMBLES regional climate models.FISICA DE LA TIERRA,25,123-136.
MLA	Lopez-Franca, Noelia,et al."Dry spells analysis over the Mediterranean basin for present climate and climate change conditions using ENSEMBLES regional climate models".FISICA DE LA TIERRA 25(2013):123-136.