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	Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan
	Ahmed, Mirza Nomman; Schmitz, Michael
通讯作者	Ahmed, MN
来源期刊	BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC HORIZONS
ISSN	1804-1205
EISSN	1804-5006
出版年	2011
卷号	4 期号:1 页码:1-12
英文摘要	Climate Change in Pakistan among others manifests itself in temperature increases, rainfall reduction in the arid plains and increases in the monsoon areas and last but not least, accelerated glacial melt. All these and other developments call for a deeper insight into the effects Recent Climate Change - or Weather Change has had on Pakistan in the course of the last 17 years. In this context the threats to food security remain one core issue to be investigated based on productivity analysis. This article studies how climate change affects the agricultural productivity in Pakistan's four provinces Punjab, Sindh, Balochistan and the N.W.F.P., measured as weighted food crop yields per hectare, for the food crops wheat, rice and maize. By considering the RABI (Nov-Apr) growing season and including a measure for drought to capture the occurrence of extreme events, exacerbated through climate change, the proposed hypothesis is that changing climatic variables have reduced and are reducing the agricultural productivity and thus posing a threat to long term food security. To depict the effect of climate change, several control variables are introduced in a panel framework for intertemporal analysis. As a result, we should expect lower levels of productivity in the arid zones with greater climatic pressure and adverse effects on food security through lower agricultural yields.
英文关键词	Climate change Pakistan panel model econometric analysis adaptation
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	ESCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000441783400001
WOS类目	Economics
WOS研究方向	Business & Economics
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/329879
作者单位	[Ahmed, Mirza Nomman; Schmitz, Michael] Justus Liebig Univ Giessen, Giessen, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ahmed, Mirza Nomman,Schmitz, Michael. Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan[J],2011,4(1):1-12.
APA	Ahmed, Mirza Nomman,&Schmitz, Michael.(2011).Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan.BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC HORIZONS,4(1),1-12.
MLA	Ahmed, Mirza Nomman,et al."Economic assessment of the impact of climate change on the agriculture of Pakistan".BUSINESS AND ECONOMIC HORIZONS 4.1(2011):1-12.