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| DOI | 10.1386/pjss.6.1.15_1 |
| Institutional incentives for strategic voting and party system change in Portugal | |
| Gschwend, Thomas | |
| 通讯作者 | Gschwend, T |
| 来源期刊 | PORTUGUESE JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE
 |
| ISSN | 1476-413X |
| EISSN | 1758-9509 |
| 出版年 | 2007 |
| 卷号 | 6期号:1页码:15-31 |
| 英文摘要 | Looking more closely at the way people form expectations about the possible outcome of the election in their electoral district I will provide evidence for the first time that strategic voting can be observed and predicted even in PR systems with large districts magnitudes, such as in Portugal. Employing district-level data from 1975-2002 I estimate that a party, who is expected to win no seat, will be strategically deserted on average by about 3 per cent of the voters. This number does systematically vary with the district magnitude of each district. Nevertheless even in Portugal's largest electoral district, Lisbon, strategic voting can be observed to have a systematic impact on parties vote shares. Moreover there is evidence that strategic voting can partly account for the majoritarian trend that can be observed within the Portuguese party system. |
| 英文关键词 | elections proportional representation strategic voting party systems electoral behaviour |
| 类型 | Article |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 收录类别 | ESCI |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000219103000002 |
| WOS类目 | Area Studies |
| WOS研究方向 | Area Studies |
| 资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/328921 |
| 作者单位 | [Gschwend, Thomas] Univ Mannheim, Zentrum Europa Sozialforsch MZES, D-68131 Mannheim, Germany |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gschwend, Thomas. Institutional incentives for strategic voting and party system change in Portugal[J],2007,6(1):15-31. |
| APA | Gschwend, Thomas.(2007).Institutional incentives for strategic voting and party system change in Portugal.PORTUGUESE JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE,6(1),15-31. |
| MLA | Gschwend, Thomas."Institutional incentives for strategic voting and party system change in Portugal".PORTUGUESE JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE 6.1(2007):15-31. |
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