Arid
DOI10.1002/aepp.13127
How Hard Did That Sting? Estimating the Economic Costs of Locust Attacks on Agricultural Production(dagger)JEL codes
Chatterjee, Somdeep
通讯作者Chatterjee, S
来源期刊APPLIED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES AND POLICY
ISSN2040-5790
EISSN2040-5804
出版年2020-11
英文摘要Estimates suggest that a swarm of desert locusts can consume food grains sufficient to feed up to 35,000 people. Despite the potential disaster that these migratory pests can bring about, there is no credible economic estimate of the actual damage caused by locust upsurges to agricultural production. This article takes advantage of plausibly exogenous variation generated by the timing of locust upsurges and geographic variation due to their migration patterns to estimate the impact of an upsurge on crop yields using a large district level panel dataset from India covering more than 200 districts over 45 years. I find that locust upsurges have no impact on rice yields but can lead to a decline of up to 0.2 tons of wheat production per hectare. Given that locusts attack India from the western side and majority of the rice is produced in the east and south, such findings are not surprising. There are two ways to interpret the estimated effect size in terms of how hard the locust upsurges can sting the economy. First, in terms of the economic costs, the magnitude of the effects are around 12% compared to mean per-hectare production of wheat. Second, in terms of accounting costs, back of the envelope calculations suggest losses up to US$3 billion. Policy implications include recognizing locust upsurges as natural disasters and providing demand-based market instruments such as locust insurance to help farmers hedge against this risk.
英文关键词Locust upsurge Agricultural production Crop yields Wheat Natural disaster Q12 O12
类型Article ; Early Access
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000592895300001
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CROP YIELD ; IMPACT ; PRODUCTIVITY ; REDUCTION ; DROUGHT
WOS类目Agricultural Economics & Policy ; Economics
WOS研究方向Agriculture ; Business & Economics
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/328546
作者单位[Chatterjee, Somdeep] Indian Inst Management Lucknow, Business Environm Econ Grp, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India
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Chatterjee, Somdeep. How Hard Did That Sting? Estimating the Economic Costs of Locust Attacks on Agricultural Production(dagger)JEL codes[J],2020.
APA Chatterjee, Somdeep.(2020).How Hard Did That Sting? Estimating the Economic Costs of Locust Attacks on Agricultural Production(dagger)JEL codes.APPLIED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES AND POLICY.
MLA Chatterjee, Somdeep."How Hard Did That Sting? Estimating the Economic Costs of Locust Attacks on Agricultural Production(dagger)JEL codes".APPLIED ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES AND POLICY (2020).
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