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DOI	10.1080/15567036.2020.1804011
	A two-state, multi-criteria Markov chain model for stochastic solar generators
	Abdelhafidi, Nedjma; Cheknane, Ali; Bachari, Nour El Islam; Almaraashi, Majid; Aillerie, Michel
通讯作者	Cheknane, A
来源期刊	ENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS
ISSN	1556-7036
EISSN	1556-7230
出版年	2020-09
英文摘要	This paper presents a method of building a two-state multi-criteria Markov chain for stochastic solar generators. The design is based on different criteria which are defined using some statistical thresholds such as quartiles and averages. These thresholds have been used for classifying the state of all individual data samples. The proposed model is analyzed via computer simulation on Matlab environment using the historical data recorded over a period of 29 years by three meteorological stations in Algeria (Tamanrasset, Ghardaia, and Oran). In order to validate and compare the performance of our model, several statistical tests were performed. The root mean square error and mean absolute error range, respectively, from 0.18 to 0.26 h and -0.10 h to 0.16. The obtained results proved that the model is effective to predict the data. Moreover, this study can be applied in its methodology not only in Algeria sites but also in other countries of the world and can serve as a reference for different climates, which are Mediterranean coastal climate, desert climate, and Sahel climate. Hence, it is useful to the designers of solar energy systems.
英文关键词	Forecasting Markov chains solar insolation statistical thresholds stochastic process
类型	Article ; Early Access
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000566631700001
WOS关键词	RADIATION ; IRRADIANCE ; AUTOCORRELATION ; SERIES
WOS类目	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Energy & Fuels ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/328208
作者单位	[Abdelhafidi, Nedjma; Cheknane, Ali] Univ Amar Telidji Laghouat, Laghouat, Algeria; [Bachari, Nour El Islam] Univ Sci & Technol Houari Boumediene USTHB, Dept Ecol & Environm, Lab Oceanog Biol & MarineEnvironm LOBME, El Alia, Bab Ezzouar, Algeria; [Almaraashi, Majid] Univ Jeddah, Coll Comp & Informat Technol, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia; [Aillerie, Michel] Univ Lorraine, Lab Mat Opt Photon & Syst, Metz, France; [Aillerie, Michel] Univ Paris Saclay, Lab Mat Opt Photon & Syst, Cent Supelec, Metz, France
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Abdelhafidi, Nedjma,Cheknane, Ali,Bachari, Nour El Islam,et al. A two-state, multi-criteria Markov chain model for stochastic solar generators[J],2020.
APA	Abdelhafidi, Nedjma,Cheknane, Ali,Bachari, Nour El Islam,Almaraashi, Majid,&Aillerie, Michel.(2020).A two-state, multi-criteria Markov chain model for stochastic solar generators.ENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS.
MLA	Abdelhafidi, Nedjma,et al."A two-state, multi-criteria Markov chain model for stochastic solar generators".ENERGY SOURCES PART A-RECOVERY UTILIZATION AND ENVIRONMENTAL EFFECTS (2020).