干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): A spatio-temporal agent-based approach for modeling the spread of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis in northeast Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1186/s13071-020-04447-x
	A spatio-temporal agent-based approach for modeling the spread of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis in northeast Iran
	Tabasi, Mohammad; Alesheikh, Ali Asghar; Sofizadeh, Aioub; Saeidian, Bahram; Pradhan, Biswajeet; AlAmri, Abdullah
通讯作者	Pradhan, B
来源期刊	PARASITES & VECTORS
ISSN	1756-3305
出版年	2020
卷号	13 期号:1
英文摘要	BackgroundZoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ZCL) is a neglected tropical disease worldwide, especially the Middle East. Although previous works attempt to model the ZCL spread using various environmental factors, the interactions between vectors (Phlebotomus papatasi), reservoir hosts, humans, and the environment can affect its spread. Considering all of these aspects is not a trivial task.MethodsAn agent-based model (ABM) is a relatively new approach that provides a framework for analyzing the heterogeneity of the interactions, along with biological and environmental factors in such complex systems. The objective of this research is to design and develop an ABM that uses Geospatial Information System (GIS) capabilities, biological behaviors of vectors and reservoir hosts, and an improved Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemic model to explore the spread of ZCL. Various scenarios were implemented to analyze the future ZCL spreads in different parts of Maraveh Tappeh County, in the northeast region of Golestan Province in northeastern Iran, with alternative socio-ecological conditions.ResultsThe results confirmed that the spread of the disease arises principally in the desert, low altitude areas, and riverside population centers. The outcomes also showed that the restricting movement of humans reduces the severity of the transmission. Moreover, the spread of ZCL has a particular temporal pattern, since the most prevalent cases occurred in the fall. The evaluation test also showed the similarity between the results and the reported spatiotemporal trends.ConclusionsThis study demonstrates the capability and efficiency of ABM to model and predict the spread of ZCL. The results of the presented approach can be considered as a guide for public health management and controlling the vector population.
英文关键词	Zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered model Geospatial information system Agent-based model
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Green Published, gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000593865900008
WOS关键词	FLIES DIPTERA PSYCHODIDAE ; VISCERAL-LEISHMANIASIS ; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION ; INFORMATION-SYSTEMS ; GOLESTAN PROVINCE ; RESERVOIR HOSTS ; FOCI ; VECTORS ; DISEASE ; BURROWS
WOS类目	Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine
WOS研究方向	Parasitology ; Tropical Medicine
来源机构	King Saud University
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/327728
作者单位	[Tabasi, Mohammad; Alesheikh, Ali Asghar] KN Toosi Univ Technol, Fac Geodesy & Geomat Engn, Dept GIS, Tehran 1996715433, Iran; [Sofizadeh, Aioub] Golestan Univ Med Sci, Infect Dis Res Ctr, Gorgan, Golestan, Iran; [Saeidian, Bahram] Univ Melbourne, Dept Infrastruct Engn, Ctr Spatial Data Infrastruct & Land Adm CSDILA, Melbourne, Vic 3010, Australia; [Pradhan, Biswajeet] Univ Technol Sydney, Fac Engn & IT, Ctr Adv Modelling & Geospatial Informat Syst CAMG, Sydney, NSW, Australia; [Pradhan, Biswajeet] Sejong Univ, Dept Energy & Mineral Resources Engn, 209 Neungdong Ro, Seoul 05006, South Korea; [Pradhan, Biswajeet] Univ Kebangsaan Malaysia, Earth Observat Ctr, Inst Climate Change, Bangi 43600, Selangor, Malaysia; [AlAmri, Abdullah] King Saud Univ, Dept Geol & Geophys, Coll Sci, POB 2455, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Tabasi, Mohammad,Alesheikh, Ali Asghar,Sofizadeh, Aioub,et al. A spatio-temporal agent-based approach for modeling the spread of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis in northeast Iran[J]. King Saud University,2020,13(1).
APA	Tabasi, Mohammad,Alesheikh, Ali Asghar,Sofizadeh, Aioub,Saeidian, Bahram,Pradhan, Biswajeet,&AlAmri, Abdullah.(2020).A spatio-temporal agent-based approach for modeling the spread of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis in northeast Iran.PARASITES & VECTORS,13(1).
MLA	Tabasi, Mohammad,et al."A spatio-temporal agent-based approach for modeling the spread of zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis in northeast Iran".PARASITES & VECTORS 13.1(2020).