干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Climate change projections for the Worldwide Bioclimatic Classification System in the Iberian Peninsula until 2070

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DOI	10.1002/joc.6553
	Climate change projections for the Worldwide Bioclimatic Classification System in the Iberian Peninsula until 2070
	Andrade, Cristina; Contente, Joana
通讯作者	Andrade, C
来源期刊	INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN	0899-8418
EISSN	1097-0088
出版年	2020
卷号	40 期号:14 页码:5863-5886
英文摘要	Climate change projections for the four major divisions of the Worldwide Bioclimatic Classification System in the Iberian Peninsula (IP) are analysed using a six-member ensemble (EURO-CORDEX) for 1961-1990, 1981-2010, 2011-2040, and 2041-2070 periods for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. The direct forcing method was used to correct the bias of the simulated data using an observational gridded dataset (E-OBS). Results show a decrease of the temperate areas in the north-western region of the IP, with higher expression in RCP8.5 for 2041-2070. Major changes in bioclimates, ombrotypes, and thermotypes are projected to occur in northernmost regions, as well as, central and southeastern areas of Iberia. The projected decrease of Mediterranean pluviseasonal areas hint at a decrease of several evergreen or deciduous forest types. Conversely, due to the projected increase of Mediterranean xeric and desertic areas, it can be expected an increase of microforests or dense shrubby lands, as well as the appearance of half deserts or low-density scrublands. Finally, the continentality index patterns revealed a strengthening of the coastal-inner climate contrasts in the future, mainly for RCP8.5.
英文关键词	bioclimate bioclimatic system classification climate change Iberian Peninsula macrobioclimate ombrotype thermotype
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000588053600004
WOS关键词	PORTUGAL CURRENT REGIME ; BIAS-CORRECTION ; FUTURE CLIMATE ; TEMPERATURE EXTREMES ; STORM TRACK ; IMPACTS ; OLIVE ; MODEL ; PHENOLOGY ; DROUGHT
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/327440
作者单位	[Andrade, Cristina; Contente, Joana] Nat Hazards Res Ctr NHRCipt, Polytech Inst Tomar, Estr Serra, P-2300313 Tomar, Portugal; [Andrade, Cristina] Univ Tras Os Montes & Alto Douro, Ctr Res & Technol Agroenvironm & Biol Sci CITAB, Vila Real, Portugal
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Andrade, Cristina,Contente, Joana. Climate change projections for the Worldwide Bioclimatic Classification System in the Iberian Peninsula until 2070[J],2020,40(14):5863-5886.
APA	Andrade, Cristina,&Contente, Joana.(2020).Climate change projections for the Worldwide Bioclimatic Classification System in the Iberian Peninsula until 2070.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,40(14),5863-5886.
MLA	Andrade, Cristina,et al."Climate change projections for the Worldwide Bioclimatic Classification System in the Iberian Peninsula until 2070".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 40.14(2020):5863-5886.