干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)

Arid

DOI	10.3390/w12102863
	Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
	Massoud, Elias; Massoud, Theresa; Guan, Bin; Sengupta, Agniv; Espinoza, Vicky; De Luna, Michelle; Raymond, Colin; Waliser, Duane
通讯作者	Massoud, E
来源期刊	WATER
EISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2020
卷号	12 期号:10
英文摘要	This study investigates the historical climatology and future projected change of atmospheric rivers (ARs) and precipitation for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. We use a suite of models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5, historical and RCP8.5 scenarios) and other observations to estimate AR frequency and mean daily precipitation. Despite its arid-to-semi-arid climate, parts of the MENA region experience strong ARs, which contribute a large fraction of the annual precipitation, such as in the mountainous areas of Turkey and Iran. This study shows that by the end of this century, AR frequency is projected to increase (similar to 20-40%) for the North Africa and Mediterranean areas (including any region with higher latitudes than 35 N). However, for these regions, mean daily precipitation (i.e., regardless of the presence of ARs) is projected to decrease (similar to 15-30%). For the rest of the MENA region, including the Arabian Peninsula and the Horn of Africa, minor changes in AR frequency (+/- 10%) are expected, yet mean precipitation is projected to increase (similar to 50%) for these regions. Overall, the projected sign of change in AR frequency is opposite to the projected sign of change in mean daily precipitation for most areas within the MENA region.
英文关键词	climate change precipitation atmospheric rivers Middle East North Africa
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000585373300001
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; EXTREME PRECIPITATION ; HEAVY PRECIPITATION ; MODEL EVALUATION ; FUTURE CHANGES ; WEST-COAST ; COSMO-CLM ; UNCERTAINTY ; LANDFALL ; IMPACTS
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
来源机构	University of California, Los Angeles
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/327294
作者单位	[Massoud, Elias; Guan, Bin; Sengupta, Agniv; Raymond, Colin; Waliser, Duane] CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA 91109 USA; [Massoud, Theresa] Univ Balamand Dubai, Fac Arts & Sci, Dept Chem, Dubai, U Arab Emirates; [Guan, Bin; Waliser, Duane] Univ Calif Los Angeles, Joint Inst Reg Earth Syst Sci & Engn, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA; [Espinoza, Vicky] Univ Calif Merced, Sch Engn, Merced, CA 95343 USA; [De Luna, Michelle] Calif State Univ Los Angeles, Geosci & Environm, Los Angeles, CA 90032 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Massoud, Elias,Massoud, Theresa,Guan, Bin,et al. Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)[J]. University of California, Los Angeles,2020,12(10).
APA	Massoud, Elias.,Massoud, Theresa.,Guan, Bin.,Sengupta, Agniv.,Espinoza, Vicky.,...&Waliser, Duane.(2020).Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA).WATER,12(10).
MLA	Massoud, Elias,et al."Atmospheric Rivers and Precipitation in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)".WATER 12.10(2020).