干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Mid-Century Changes in the Mean and Extreme Climate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Implications for Water Harvesting and Climate Adaptation

Arid

DOI	10.3390/atmos11101068
	Mid-Century Changes in the Mean and Extreme Climate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Implications for Water Harvesting and Climate Adaptation
	Komurcu, Muge; Schlosser, C. Adam; Alshehri, Ibtihal; Alshahrani, Tariq; Alhayaza, Waleed; AlSaati, Adnan; Strzepek, Kenneth
通讯作者	Komurcu, M
来源期刊	ATMOSPHERE
EISSN	2073-4433
出版年	2020
卷号	11 期号:10
英文摘要	The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) is a water-scarce region with a dry, desert climate, yet flood-producing precipitation events and heat extremes lead to loss of life and damages to local infrastructure, property and economy. Due to its distinctive natural and man-made spatial features (e.g., coastal features, wadis, agricultural areas) studying changes in the mean climate and extreme events requires higher-resolution climate projections than those available from the current generation of Earth System Models. Here, a high-resolution convection-permitting regional climate model is used to downscale the middle of the 21st century (2041-2050) climate projections of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) under representative concentration pathway (RCP) 8.5 and for a historical time period (2008-2017) focusing on two months (August and November) within KSA's dry-hot and wet seasons, where extreme events have historically been observed more frequently. Downscaling of climate reanalysis is also performed for the historical time period (2008-2017) to evaluate the downscaling methodology. An increase in the intensity and frequency of precipitation events is found in August by mid-century, particularly along the mountainous western coast of KSA, suggesting potential for water harvesting. Conversely, the northern flank of the Empty Quarter experiences a noticeable reduction in mean and extreme precipitation rates during the wet season. Increasing August heat index is found to particularly make regional habitability difficult in Jeddah by mid-century.
英文关键词	convection-permitting regional climate modeling climate projections Arabian Peninsula climate extremes water harvesting
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Green Published, gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000584059300001
WOS关键词	DATA ASSIMILATION ; TEMPERATURE ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; PERFORMANCE ; TRENDS ; IMPACT
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/327208
作者单位	[Komurcu, Muge; Schlosser, C. Adam; Strzepek, Kenneth] MIT, Joint Program Sci & Policy Global Change, Ctr Global Change Sci, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA; [Alshehri, Ibtihal; Alshahrani, Tariq; Alhayaza, Waleed; AlSaati, Adnan] King Abdulaziz City Sci & Technol, Ctr Complex Engn Syst, Riyadh 11442, Saudi Arabia
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Komurcu, Muge,Schlosser, C. Adam,Alshehri, Ibtihal,et al. Mid-Century Changes in the Mean and Extreme Climate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Implications for Water Harvesting and Climate Adaptation[J],2020,11(10).
APA	Komurcu, Muge.,Schlosser, C. Adam.,Alshehri, Ibtihal.,Alshahrani, Tariq.,Alhayaza, Waleed.,...&Strzepek, Kenneth.(2020).Mid-Century Changes in the Mean and Extreme Climate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Implications for Water Harvesting and Climate Adaptation.ATMOSPHERE,11(10).
MLA	Komurcu, Muge,et al."Mid-Century Changes in the Mean and Extreme Climate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Implications for Water Harvesting and Climate Adaptation".ATMOSPHERE 11.10(2020).