Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140807 |
Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate | |
Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang![]() | |
通讯作者 | Zhang, Q |
来源期刊 | SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
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ISSN | 0048-9697 |
EISSN | 1879-1026 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 746 |
英文摘要 | Paris Agreement's 1.5 degrees C or 2.0 degrees C global warming targets call for human concerns on warming climate on human society and environment in general. Here we analyzed spatiotemporal patterns and related impacts of precipitation extremes on human society across China using NEX-GDDP (NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections) dataset. We found increasing trends of almost all extreme precipitation indices except consecutive dry duration (CDD). Additional 0.5 degrees C warmer climate from 1.5 degrees C to 2.0 degrees C global warming targets can double increase of extreme precipitation indices. Specifically, the increase of Rx5day (Max 5-day precipitation amount) is from 3.98% to 7.63%, the increase of R95pTOT (precipitation in very wet days) is from 19.41% to 34.42% and the increase of PRCPTOT (annual total wet-day precipitation) is from 3.89% to 8.23%, showing that additional 0.5 degrees C warmer climate can potentially increase flood risks across China. While, we also found regional differences in responses of extreme precipitation to warming climate. Extreme precipitation in the Qinghai Tibet Plateau, the Western Arid and semiarid zone and in the lower Yangtze River basin is in higher sensitivity to warming climate. Constraint of temperature increase of below 1.5 degrees C but not 2.0 degrees C will avoid 4.34% to 73.96% impacts of extreme precipitation on human society. It is particularly important for China since that more than half of territory of China is under exposure to high flood and drought disasters. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Warming climate Extreme precipitation 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warming targets Impacts |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000579371300075 |
WOS关键词 | GLOBAL WARMING TARGETS ; HEAVY-PRECIPITATION ; CHANGING PROPERTIES ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; TEMPERATURE ; FREQUENCY ; DATASET ; REGIMES ; ASIA |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | 北京师范大学 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326844 |
作者单位 | [Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi] Beijing Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi] Beijing Normal Univ, Minist Civil Affairs, Minist Educ, Fac Geog Sci,Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Man, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi] Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Sun, Peng] Anhui Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Tourism, Wuhu 241000, Anhui, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Gang,Zhang, Qiang,Yu, Huiqian,et al. Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate[J]. 北京师范大学,2020,746. |
APA | Wang, Gang,Zhang, Qiang,Yu, Huiqian,Shen, Zexi,&Sun, Peng.(2020).Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,746. |
MLA | Wang, Gang,et al."Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 746(2020). |
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