Arid
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140807
Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate
Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi; Sun, Peng
通讯作者Zhang, Q
来源期刊SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
EISSN1879-1026
出版年2020
卷号746
英文摘要Paris Agreement's 1.5 degrees C or 2.0 degrees C global warming targets call for human concerns on warming climate on human society and environment in general. Here we analyzed spatiotemporal patterns and related impacts of precipitation extremes on human society across China using NEX-GDDP (NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections) dataset. We found increasing trends of almost all extreme precipitation indices except consecutive dry duration (CDD). Additional 0.5 degrees C warmer climate from 1.5 degrees C to 2.0 degrees C global warming targets can double increase of extreme precipitation indices. Specifically, the increase of Rx5day (Max 5-day precipitation amount) is from 3.98% to 7.63%, the increase of R95pTOT (precipitation in very wet days) is from 19.41% to 34.42% and the increase of PRCPTOT (annual total wet-day precipitation) is from 3.89% to 8.23%, showing that additional 0.5 degrees C warmer climate can potentially increase flood risks across China. While, we also found regional differences in responses of extreme precipitation to warming climate. Extreme precipitation in the Qinghai Tibet Plateau, the Western Arid and semiarid zone and in the lower Yangtze River basin is in higher sensitivity to warming climate. Constraint of temperature increase of below 1.5 degrees C but not 2.0 degrees C will avoid 4.34% to 73.96% impacts of extreme precipitation on human society. It is particularly important for China since that more than half of territory of China is under exposure to high flood and drought disasters. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
英文关键词Warming climate Extreme precipitation 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warming targets Impacts
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000579371300075
WOS关键词GLOBAL WARMING TARGETS ; HEAVY-PRECIPITATION ; CHANGING PROPERTIES ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; TEMPERATURE ; FREQUENCY ; DATASET ; REGIMES ; ASIA
WOS类目Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology
来源机构北京师范大学
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326844
作者单位[Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi] Beijing Normal Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi] Beijing Normal Univ, Minist Civil Affairs, Minist Educ, Fac Geog Sci,Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Man, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Wang, Gang; Zhang, Qiang; Yu, Huiqian; Shen, Zexi] Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; [Sun, Peng] Anhui Normal Univ, Coll Geog & Tourism, Wuhu 241000, Anhui, Peoples R China
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Wang, Gang,Zhang, Qiang,Yu, Huiqian,et al. Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate[J]. 北京师范大学,2020,746.
APA Wang, Gang,Zhang, Qiang,Yu, Huiqian,Shen, Zexi,&Sun, Peng.(2020).Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,746.
MLA Wang, Gang,et al."Double increase in precipitation extremes across China in a 1.5 degrees C/2.0 degrees C warmer climate".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 746(2020).
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