Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-020-02862-8 |
Revisiting climate change effects on winter chill in mountain oases of northern Oman | |
Buerkert, Andreas; Fernandez, Eduardo; Tietjen, Beke; Luedeling, Eike | |
通讯作者 | Buerkert, A |
来源期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 162期号:3页码:1399-1417 |
英文摘要 | For centuries, traditional high-altitude oases in Oman have depended on the cultivation of deciduous fruit trees. This study explores the effects of climate change on winter chill (estimated as Chilling Hours-CH and Chill Portions-CP), a prerequisite to overcoming dormancy and initiating flowering, in three Omani oases. The results are compared with findings from an earlier study which reported a decrease in the numbers of CH in high-elevation oases by an average of 1.2-9.5 CH year(-1)between 1983 and 2008. Location-specific weather data were obtained by merging 15 years of in situ recordings with 28 years of observations from an official weather station near the top of the investigated watershed. Between 1991 and 2018, scenarios of the past few decades show chill reductions by 75, 35 and 18% when estimated in CP at the oases of Masayrat ar Ruwajah (1030 m a.s.l.), Qasha' (1640 m a.s.l.), and Al 'Ayn (1900 m a.s.l.), respectively. Over the course of the twenty-first century, the lowest-elevation oasis at Masayrat ar Ruwajah is projected to lose virtually all winter chill, whereas, despite significant chill losses, conditions are expected to remain viable for some of the currently grown species in the higher-elevation oases. These projected changes will compromise the cultivation of temperate fruit trees in the near future, affecting the sustainability of Omani oases. Our methods support results from earlier work performed at these locations and provide an updated procedure for assessing climate change effects on temperature-dependent systems. |
英文关键词 | Arabia Arid environments Chill requirements Fruit production Global warming Warm winters |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
开放获取类型 | hybrid |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000577368100001 |
WOS关键词 | JABAL AL AKHDAR ; TEMPERATURE-DEPENDENCE ; MOLECULAR DIVERSITY ; DORMANCY BREAKING ; LAND-USE ; FRUIT ; CROPS ; OASIS ; MICROSATELLITES ; MANAGEMENT |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326760 |
作者单位 | [Buerkert, Andreas; Tietjen, Beke] Univ Kassel, Organ Plant Prod & Agroecosyst Res Trop & Subtrop, Steinstr 19, D-37213 Witzenhausen, Germany; [Fernandez, Eduardo; Luedeling, Eike] Univ Bonn, Inst Crop Sci & Resource Conservat INRES, Dept Hort Sci, Hugel 6, D-53121 Bonn, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Buerkert, Andreas,Fernandez, Eduardo,Tietjen, Beke,et al. Revisiting climate change effects on winter chill in mountain oases of northern Oman[J],2020,162(3):1399-1417. |
APA | Buerkert, Andreas,Fernandez, Eduardo,Tietjen, Beke,&Luedeling, Eike.(2020).Revisiting climate change effects on winter chill in mountain oases of northern Oman.CLIMATIC CHANGE,162(3),1399-1417. |
MLA | Buerkert, Andreas,et al."Revisiting climate change effects on winter chill in mountain oases of northern Oman".CLIMATIC CHANGE 162.3(2020):1399-1417. |
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