干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): A comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 projections for precipitation to observational data: the case of Northeastern Iran

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s00704-020-03406-x
	A comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 projections for precipitation to observational data: the case of Northeastern Iran
	Zamani, Yasin; Hashemi Monfared, Seyed Arman; Azhdari Moghaddam, Mehdi; Hamidianpour, Mohsen
通讯作者	Monfared, SAH
来源期刊	THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN	0177-798X
EISSN	1434-4483
出版年	2020
卷号	142 期号:3-4 页码:1613-1623
英文摘要	The present study aimed to assess the performance of CMIP6 and CMIP5 projects in projecting mean precipitation at annual, summer, autumn, winter, and spring timescales in the north and northeast of Iran over the period 1987-2005 using relative bias, correlation coefficient, root mean square error, relative error, and the Taylor diagram. This is the first attempt to compare CMIP6 and CMIP5 data in an arid region at a seasonal and annual scale. The results showed that the precipitations simulated by the ensembles of CMIP6 and CMIP5 models were different. The relative bias for winter was lower at all stations in CMIP6 than in CMIP5, so CMIP6 performed better in this respect. CMIP6 outperformed CMIP5 in projecting annual and spring precipitation in 60 and 69% of the stations, respectively. Whereas CMIP6 overestimated precipitation in 70% of the stations, CMIP5 underestimated it in 77% of the stations. CMIP5 models exhibited better performance in 70% of the stations only in autumn. In most seasons and stations, CMIP6 CGMs' ensemble outperformed CMIP5. The results of HadGEM2-ES from CMIP5 and CESM2 from CMIP6 were more accurate than the models' ensembles in both projects. Overall, CMIP6 models exhibited better performance than CMIP5 models.
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000573789700002
WOS关键词	CLIMATE-CHANGE ; WATER-RESOURCES ; MODEL ; TEMPERATURE ; PRODUCTIVITY ; SIMULATION ; INTENSITY ; EMISSIONS ; PROSPECTS ; EXTREMES
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326563
作者单位	[Zamani, Yasin; Hashemi Monfared, Seyed Arman; Azhdari Moghaddam, Mehdi] Univ Sistan & Baluchestan, Dept Civil Engn, Zahedan, Sistan & Baluch, Iran; [Hamidianpour, Mohsen] Univ Sistan & Baluchestan, Dept Geog & Environm Planning, Zahedan, Sistan & Baluch, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zamani, Yasin,Hashemi Monfared, Seyed Arman,Azhdari Moghaddam, Mehdi,et al. A comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 projections for precipitation to observational data: the case of Northeastern Iran[J],2020,142(3-4):1613-1623.
APA	Zamani, Yasin,Hashemi Monfared, Seyed Arman,Azhdari Moghaddam, Mehdi,&Hamidianpour, Mohsen.(2020).A comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 projections for precipitation to observational data: the case of Northeastern Iran.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,142(3-4),1613-1623.
MLA	Zamani, Yasin,et al."A comparison of CMIP6 and CMIP5 projections for precipitation to observational data: the case of Northeastern Iran".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 142.3-4(2020):1613-1623.