干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain)

Arid

DOI	10.3390/w12082119
	Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain)
	Contreras, Eva; Herrero, Javier; Crochemore, Louise; Aguilar, Cristina; Jose Polo, Maria
通讯作者	Contreras, E
来源期刊	WATER
EISSN	2073-4441
出版年	2020
卷号	12 期号:8
英文摘要	Run of river (RoR) hydropower systems, despite being one of the most cost-effective and environmentally benign energy technologies, have the disadvantage that production is not constant because it is subject to a high variability in precipitation and snow cover. In addition, the management of RoR plants has to comply with some particular operating conditions, but also with some environmental flow requirements. This work presents the assessment of the main inputs included in a climate service, historical local data and the seasonal forecast of water inflow to RoR plants, which are used to predict the operability and the expected energy production. The analysis is presented through the application in a pilot RoR system located in the south of Spain, in a semi-arid Mediterranean area impacted by snow, where seasonal forecasting is especially challenging. The results show the high interannual variability of the operation in this kind of facilities. The outcomes indicate that seasonal climate forecast information would improve the prediction of observed river streamflow by 7.4% in reliability and 3.2% in sharpness compared to the current operational forecast based on historical data. The climate forecasts thus provide valuable information for the exploitation of available water resources, which generates a significant value for the operation of the plant and the energy production market.
英文关键词	climate service seasonal forecast energy production Mediterranean high-mountain climate reliability sharpness
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	DOAJ Gold, Green Published
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000567238800001
WOS关键词	PRECIPITATION FORECASTS ; STREAMFLOW ; MODEL ; BASIN
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326132
作者单位	[Contreras, Eva; Herrero, Javier; Aguilar, Cristina; Jose Polo, Maria] Univ Cordoba, Andalusian Inst Earth Syst Res, Fluvial Dynam & Hydrol Res Grp, Cordoba 14071, Spain; [Crochemore, Louise] Swedish Meteorol & Hydrol Inst, Hydrol Res Unit, SE-60176 Norrkoping, Sweden
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Contreras, Eva,Herrero, Javier,Crochemore, Louise,et al. Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain)[J],2020,12(8).
APA	Contreras, Eva,Herrero, Javier,Crochemore, Louise,Aguilar, Cristina,&Jose Polo, Maria.(2020).Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain).WATER,12(8).
MLA	Contreras, Eva,et al."Seasonal Climate Forecast Skill Assessment for the Management of Water Resources in a Run of River Hydropower System in the Poqueira River (Southern Spain)".WATER 12.8(2020).