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DOI	10.1007/s10584-020-02843-x
	Projected impacts of climate change on tourism in the Coachella Valley, California
	Yanez, Cindy C.; Hopkins, Francesca M.; Porter, William C.
通讯作者	Yanez, CC
来源期刊	CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN	0165-0009
EISSN	1573-1480
出版年	2020
卷号	162 期号:2 页码:707-721
英文摘要	Weather and climate are important considerations for tourists in selecting their destinations, and climate change may impact these decisions, with implications for economic revenue in tourism-dependent locations. In the Coachella Valley, a desert region in Southern California, the warm and dry climate during winter months attracts seasonal visitors from Canada and northern US states (snowbirds). However, global warming may adversely impact the snowbird season and other tourist attractions through rising temperatures. We analyzed how increasing temperatures are likely to impact three key components of the tourism industry in the region: climate in the winter snowbird season, visitation at an outdoor tourist attraction, and the likelihood of extreme heat at an annual festival. We used statistically downscaled climate models to make predictions about future visitation to the region by calculating changing probabilities of extreme heat during the tourist season and local events. Our analysis predicts a shortened snowbird season, which we define as the time of year with daily maximum temperatures below a threshold of 30 degrees C, under two future climate scenarios and time periods. We find a nonlinear relationship between daily maximum temperatures and daily zoo visits, where visitation sharply declines after a threshold of 30 degrees C. Using this threshold, we predict a decrease in zoo visitation by up to 18% and a shortening of the snowbird season by up to 36% by the end of the century. We also predict an increased likelihood of extreme heat stress during the Coachella Valley Music and Arts Festival.
英文关键词	Tourism Snowbird Extreme heat Zoo Festival Projections
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000566046200002
WOS关键词	SNOWBIRDS ; TEMPERATURE ; SENSITIVITY ; ADAPTATION ; MIGRATION ; WEATHER ; CANADA
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326039
作者单位	[Yanez, Cindy C.] Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Phys & Astron, Riverside, CA 92521 USA; [Yanez, Cindy C.] Univ Calif Irvine, Dept Earth Syst Sci, Irvine, CA 92697 USA; [Hopkins, Francesca M.; Porter, William C.] Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Environm Sci, Riverside, CA 92521 USA
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yanez, Cindy C.,Hopkins, Francesca M.,Porter, William C.. Projected impacts of climate change on tourism in the Coachella Valley, California[J],2020,162(2):707-721.
APA	Yanez, Cindy C.,Hopkins, Francesca M.,&Porter, William C..(2020).Projected impacts of climate change on tourism in the Coachella Valley, California.CLIMATIC CHANGE,162(2),707-721.
MLA	Yanez, Cindy C.,et al."Projected impacts of climate change on tourism in the Coachella Valley, California".CLIMATIC CHANGE 162.2(2020):707-721.