Arid
DOI10.1029/2020EF001552
Unprecedented Drought Challenges for Texas Water Resources in a Changing Climate: What Do Researchers and Stakeholders Need to Know?
Nielsen-Gammon, John W.; Banner, Jay L.; Cook, Benjamin, I; Tremaine, Darrel M.; Wong, Corinne, I; Mace, Robert E.; Gao, Huilin; Yang, Zong-Liang; Gonzalez, Marisa Flores; Hoffpauir, Richard; Gooch, Tom; Kloesel, Kevin
通讯作者Nielsen-Gammon, JW
来源期刊EARTHS FUTURE
EISSN2328-4277
出版年2020
卷号8期号:8
英文摘要Long-range water planning is complicated by factors that are rapidly changing in the 21st century, including climate, population, and water use. Here, we analyze climate factors and drought projections for Texas as an example of a diverse society straddling an aridity gradient to examine how the projections can best serve water stakeholder needs. We find that climate models are robust in projecting drying of summer-season soil moisture and decreasing reservoir supplies for both the eastern and western portions of Texas during the 21st century. Further, projections indicate drier conditions during the latter half of the 21st century than even the most arid centuries of the last 1,000 years that included megadroughts. To illustrate how accounting for drought nonstationarity may increase water resiliency, we consider generalized case studies involving four key stakeholder groups: agricultural producers, large surface water suppliers, small groundwater management districts, and regional water planning districts. We also examine an example of customized climate information being used as input to long-range water planning. We find that while stakeholders value the quantitative capability of climate model outputs, more specific climate-related information better supports resilience planning across multiple stakeholder groups. New suites of tools could provide necessary capacity for both short- and long-term, stakeholder-specific adaptive planning.
英文关键词drought water supply climate change
类型Article
语种英语
开放获取类型DOAJ Gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000565640100004
WOS关键词HYDROLOGICALLY BASED DATASET ; LAND-SURFACE FLUXES ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; PROJECTED CHANGES ; FUTURE CLIMATE ; KARST AQUIFER ; LARGE-SCALE ; HIGH-PLAINS ; STATES ; PRECIPITATION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/326013
作者单位[Nielsen-Gammon, John W.] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, College Stn, TX 77843 USA; [Banner, Jay L.; Tremaine, Darrel M.; Yang, Zong-Liang] Univ Texas Austin, Dept Geol Sci, Austin, TX 78712 USA; [Banner, Jay L.; Tremaine, Darrel M.; Wong, Corinne, I] Univ Texas Austin, Environm Sci Inst, Austin, TX 78712 USA; [Cook, Benjamin, I] NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA; [Cook, Benjamin, I] Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Div Ocean & Climate Phys, Palisades, NY USA; [Mace, Robert E.] Texas State Univ, Meadows Ctr Water & Environm, San Marcos, TX USA; [Gao, Huilin] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, College Stn, TX USA; [Gonzalez, Marisa Flores] City Austin, Water Forward, Austin, TX USA; [Hoffpauir, Richard] Hoffpauir Consulting PLLC, Bryan, TX USA; [Gooch, Tom] Freese & Nichols Inc, Ft Worth, TX USA; [Kloesel, Kevin] Univ Oklahoma, Coll Atmospher & Geog Sci, Norman, OK 73019 USA; [Wong, Corinne, I] Facebook Inc, Austin, TX USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Nielsen-Gammon, John W.,Banner, Jay L.,Cook, Benjamin, I,et al. Unprecedented Drought Challenges for Texas Water Resources in a Changing Climate: What Do Researchers and Stakeholders Need to Know?[J],2020,8(8).
APA Nielsen-Gammon, John W..,Banner, Jay L..,Cook, Benjamin, I.,Tremaine, Darrel M..,Wong, Corinne, I.,...&Kloesel, Kevin.(2020).Unprecedented Drought Challenges for Texas Water Resources in a Changing Climate: What Do Researchers and Stakeholders Need to Know?.EARTHS FUTURE,8(8).
MLA Nielsen-Gammon, John W.,et al."Unprecedented Drought Challenges for Texas Water Resources in a Changing Climate: What Do Researchers and Stakeholders Need to Know?".EARTHS FUTURE 8.8(2020).
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