干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF NATURAL HAZARD PHENOMENON, DROUGHT IN SOUTHWEST OF THE CASPIAN SEA, IRAN

Arid

DOI	10.26471/cjees/2020/015/115
	SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF NATURAL HAZARD PHENOMENON, DROUGHT IN SOUTHWEST OF THE CASPIAN SEA, IRAN
	Safarianzengir, Vahid; Sobhani, Behrouz
通讯作者	Sobhani, B
来源期刊	CARPATHIAN JOURNAL OF EARTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
ISSN	1842-4090
EISSN	1844-489X
出版年	2020
卷号	15 期号:1 页码:127-136
英文摘要	As a result of atmospheric anomalies and lack of rainfall occur Droughts. Drought occurs in arid and semi-arid regions of the world. no place in the world is protected from drought. Everywhere in different regions of the world there is a shortage of precipitation and rising temperatures they appear as drought. One of these areas is southwest of the Caspian Sea, which suffered from this phenomenon in recent years. The purpose of this study is to model, analyze and predict the drought in Northwest of Iran. To do this, climatic parameters (precipitation, temperature, sunshine, minimum relative humidity and wind speed) of 21 stations were used in the period of 31 years (1988-2018). For modelling of the TIBI fuzzy index, first, four indices of Standardized Evapotranspiration Torrent White Index (SET), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Standardized Evapotranspiration Blanney Creedal FAO Index (SEB) and Modified CZI Index (MCZI) have been fuzzy in Matlab software. Then the indices were compared and the Topsis model was used for prioritizing areas involved with drought. Results showed that the new fuzzy index of T.I.B.I for classifying drought reflected four above indicators with high accuracy. Of these five climatic parameters used in this study, the temperature parameter had the most effect on the fluctuation of drought severity. The severity of the drought was more based on a 12-months scale modelling than 6-months. The longest drought persistence in the study area occurred in Urmia Station in the 12-month period from July 2003 to December 2004. The highest percentage of drought occurrence was at Urmia station on a 12-month scale and the lowest was in Sanandaj station on a six-month scale. According to the results of the present study, areas and stations that will be affected by drought in the future. This problem can be overcome by careful planning.
英文关键词	Drought simulation Fuzzy logic monitoring Predict
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000565083400013
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/325968
作者单位	[Safarianzengir, Vahid; Sobhani, Behrouz] Univ Mohaghegh Ardabili, Fac Literature & Humanities, Climatol, Phys Geog, Ardebil, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Safarianzengir, Vahid,Sobhani, Behrouz. SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF NATURAL HAZARD PHENOMENON, DROUGHT IN SOUTHWEST OF THE CASPIAN SEA, IRAN[J],2020,15(1):127-136.
APA	Safarianzengir, Vahid,&Sobhani, Behrouz.(2020).SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF NATURAL HAZARD PHENOMENON, DROUGHT IN SOUTHWEST OF THE CASPIAN SEA, IRAN.CARPATHIAN JOURNAL OF EARTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES,15(1),127-136.
MLA	Safarianzengir, Vahid,et al."SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS OF NATURAL HAZARD PHENOMENON, DROUGHT IN SOUTHWEST OF THE CASPIAN SEA, IRAN".CARPATHIAN JOURNAL OF EARTH AND ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES 15.1(2020):127-136.