Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.15215 |
Identifying areas at risk of drought-induced tree mortality across South-Eastern Australia | |
De Kauwe, Martin G.; Medlyn, Belinda E.; Ukkola, Anna M.; Mu, Mengyuan; Sabot, Manon E. B.; Pitman, Andrew J.; Meir, Patrick; Cernusak, Lucas A.; Rifai, Sami W.; Choat, Brendan; Tissue, David T.; Blackman, Chris J.; Li, Ximeng; Roderick, Michael; Briggs, Peter R. | |
通讯作者 | De Kauwe, MG |
来源期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
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ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 26期号:10页码:5716-5733 |
英文摘要 | South-East Australia has recently been subjected to two of the worst droughts in the historical record (Millennium Drought, 2000-2009 and Big Dry, 2017-2019). Unfortunately, a lack of forest monitoring has made it difficult to determine whether widespread tree mortality has resulted from these droughts. Anecdotal observations suggest the Big Dry may have led to more significant tree mortality than the Millennium drought. Critically, to be able to robustly project future expected climate change effects on Australian vegetation, we need to assess the vulnerability of Australian trees to drought. Here we implemented a model of plant hydraulics into the Community Atmosphere Biosphere Land Exchange (CABLE) land surface model. We parameterized the drought response behaviour of five broad vegetation types, based on a common garden dry-down experiment with species originating across a rainfall gradient (188-1,125 mm/year) across South-East Australia. The new hydraulics model significantly improved (similar to 35%-45% reduction in root mean square error) CABLE's previous predictions of latent heat fluxes during periods of water stress at two eddy covariance sites in Australia. Landscape-scale predictions of the greatest percentage loss of hydraulic conductivity (PLC) of about 40%-60%, were broadly consistent with satellite estimates of regions of the greatest change in both droughts. In neither drought did CABLE predict that trees would have reached critical PLC in widespread areas (i.e. it projected a low mortality risk), although the model highlighted critical levels near the desert regions of South-East Australia where few trees live. Overall, our experimentally constrained model results imply significant resilience to drought conferred by hydraulic function, but also highlight critical data and scientific gaps. Our approach presents a promising avenue to integrate experimental data and make regional-scale predictions of potential drought-induced hydraulic failure. |
英文关键词 | Australia cavitation resistance drought tolerance land surface model plant hydraulics |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000561813000001 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-COVER CHANGE ; STOMATAL CONDUCTANCE ; HYDRAULIC TRAITS ; MODEL PREDICTIONS ; WATER RELATIONS ; SURFACE FLUXES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; GAS-EXCHANGE ; CARBON ; FOREST |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
来源机构 | Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/325768 |
作者单位 | [De Kauwe, Martin G.; Ukkola, Anna M.; Mu, Mengyuan; Sabot, Manon E. B.; Pitman, Andrew J.; Roderick, Michael] ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia; [De Kauwe, Martin G.; Mu, Mengyuan; Sabot, Manon E. B.; Pitman, Andrew J.; Rifai, Sami W.] Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia; [De Kauwe, Martin G.; Sabot, Manon E. B.] Univ New South Wales, Evolut & Ecol Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia; [Medlyn, Belinda E.; Choat, Brendan; Tissue, David T.; Blackman, Chris J.; Li, Ximeng] Western Sydney Univ, Hawkesbury Inst Environm, Penrith, NSW, Australia; [Ukkola, Anna M.; Roderick, Michael] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Earth Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia; [Meir, Patrick] Australian Natl Univ, Res Sch Biol, Acton, ACT, Australia; [Meir, Patrick] Univ Edinburgh, Sch Geosci, Edinburgh, Midlothian, Scotland; [Cernusak, Lucas A.] James Cook Univ, Coll Sci & Engn, Cairns, Qld, Australia; [Briggs, Peter R.] CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Canberra, ACT, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | De Kauwe, Martin G.,Medlyn, Belinda E.,Ukkola, Anna M.,et al. Identifying areas at risk of drought-induced tree mortality across South-Eastern Australia[J]. Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation,2020,26(10):5716-5733. |
APA | De Kauwe, Martin G..,Medlyn, Belinda E..,Ukkola, Anna M..,Mu, Mengyuan.,Sabot, Manon E. B..,...&Briggs, Peter R..(2020).Identifying areas at risk of drought-induced tree mortality across South-Eastern Australia.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,26(10),5716-5733. |
MLA | De Kauwe, Martin G.,et al."Identifying areas at risk of drought-induced tree mortality across South-Eastern Australia".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 26.10(2020):5716-5733. |
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