干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Analysis of monitoring data where butterflies fly year-round

Arid

DOI	10.1002/eap.2196
	Analysis of monitoring data where butterflies fly year-round
	Comay, Orr; Ben Yehuda, Oz; Benyamini, Dubi; Schwartz-Tzachor, Racheli; Pe'er, Israel; Melochna, Tal; Pe'er, Guy
通讯作者	Comay, O
来源期刊	ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS
ISSN	1051-0761
EISSN	1939-5582
出版年	2020
卷号	30 期号:8
英文摘要	Butterfly Monitoring Schemes (BMSs) engage the public in conservation and provide data sets that cover broad geographical areas over long timescales. Most existing BMSs are in temperate climates; however, the Israeli Butterfly Monitoring Scheme (BMS-IL), established in 2009, is a notable exception as it encompasses a large climatic gradient from Euro-Siberian through Mediterranean to hyper-arid regions. Israel's climate poses challenges in analyzing data from year-round butterfly activity, as in other tropical or arid countries. The Regional Generalized Additive Model (Regional GAM) is a butterfly phenology and abundance model based on repeat visits throughout species' flight season. We tested the applicability of Regional GAM for species with complex flight seasonality (e.g., multivoltine) by comparing estimated abundance and seasonal indices for the full data set and rarefied subsets. We assessed the reliability of modeled flight seasons and compared abundance estimates per site resulting from biologically plausible and unreliable seasonal models. The reliability of Regional GAM rises with the number of observations, and the model tends to produce more biologically plausible models for species with simple phenologies (e.g., univoltine with a single peak in activity). Abundance estimates based on unreliable models produce values with inter-quartile ranges of 90%-153% compared with biologically plausible models, while peak time changes with an interquartile range of 0-22.5 d when comparing all rarefied models with the full data set. Regional GAM should be applied with great caution for rare species and those with a complex flight season, and the date of year start needs to be carefully chosen for species that are active year-round. We identified the key sources of error and propose an operational workflow to address them. With few adaptations, Regional GAM can support new BMSs in analyzing data where butterflies are active year-round, including tropical climates. We propose guidelines for analyzing BMS data for species or regions with long activity periods and complex phenologies.
英文关键词	abundance butterflies citizen science modeling phenology warm climate
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	Other Gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000548699300001
WOS关键词	ABUNDANCE INDEX ; CLIMATE ; PHENOLOGY ; FORESTS ; TRENDS
WOS类目	Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/325042
作者单位	[Comay, Orr] Tel Aviv Univ, Sch Zool, IL-6997801 Tel Aviv, Israel; [Comay, Orr] Tel Aviv Univ, Steinhardt Museum Nat Hist, IL-6997801 Tel Aviv, Israel; [Comay, Orr; Pe'er, Guy] German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv, Deutsch Pl 5e, D-04103 Leipzig, Germany; [Comay, Orr; Pe'er, Guy] UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Ecosyst Serv, Permoserstr 15, D-04318 Leipzig, Germany; [Comay, Orr; Pe'er, Guy] UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res, Dept Econ, Permoserstr 15, D-04318 Leipzig, Germany; [Comay, Orr; Ben Yehuda, Oz] Achva Acad Coll, IL-7980400 Arugot, Israel; [Benyamini, Dubi; Melochna, Tal] Israeli Lepidopterists Soc, 4 D MicroRobot,Levona 91, IL-7194700 Bet Arye, Israel; [Schwartz-Tzachor, Racheli] Ramat Hanadiv, POB 325, IL-3095202 Zikhron Yaakov, Israel; [Pe'er, Israel] BMS IL Web Portal, GlueCAD Biodivers IT, 39 Hantke St, Haifa, Israel; [Pe'er, Guy] Univ Leipzig, Leipzig, Sachsen, Germany
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Comay, Orr,Ben Yehuda, Oz,Benyamini, Dubi,et al. Analysis of monitoring data where butterflies fly year-round[J],2020,30(8).
APA	Comay, Orr.,Ben Yehuda, Oz.,Benyamini, Dubi.,Schwartz-Tzachor, Racheli.,Pe'er, Israel.,...&Pe'er, Guy.(2020).Analysis of monitoring data where butterflies fly year-round.ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS,30(8).
MLA	Comay, Orr,et al."Analysis of monitoring data where butterflies fly year-round".ECOLOGICAL APPLICATIONS 30.8(2020).