干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Research and application of an intelligent networking model for flood forecasting in the arid mountainous basins

Arid

DOI	10.1111/jfr3.12638
	Research and application of an intelligent networking model for flood forecasting in the arid mountainous basins
	Yuan, Ximin; Zhang, Xingyuan; Tian, Fuchang
通讯作者	Zhang, XY
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT
ISSN	1753-318X
出版年	2020
卷号	13 期号:3
英文摘要	Storm floods occur frequently and have complex characteristics in arid mountainous areas, which for a long time has been a weak link in flood forecasting. The application of an artificial intelligent model and physically-based hydrological model has some limitations on flood forecasting in arid mountainous areas with scarce data. In this article, the ANN model and Muskingum-Cunge method are combined to propose an intelligent networking model for flood forecasting (FFIN model) in arid mountainous areas with scarce data, which BR-ANN model is used to forecast the flood in the catchment sub-basin with runoff data, while the General Regression Neural Network model is used to carry out flood parallel forecast in the catchment sub-basin without runoff data. The Muskingum-Cunge method is used to connect the sub-basins and form a confluence network, so as to simulate the flood routing process in river. The verification and comparison results in study area show that the FFIN model has a superior overall forecasting ability. For the forecasting period, the evaluation index Kling-Gupta efficiency is 0.88, Nash efficiency coefficient is 0.982 and forecasting deviation of flood peak flow is 7.15%. The FFIN model can be effectively applied to flood forecasting in arid mountainous areas with scarce runoff data.
英文关键词	arid mountainous basins flood forecasting forecast factors intelligent networking
类型	Article
语种	英语
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000545078300001
WOS关键词	ARTIFICIAL NEURAL-NETWORK ; KAIDU RIVER-BASIN ; RUNOFF ; REGRESSION ; SIMULATION ; BEHAVIOR ; REGION
WOS类目	Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/324918
作者单位	[Yuan, Ximin; Zhang, Xingyuan; Tian, Fuchang] Tianjin Univ, State Key Lab Hydraul Engn Simulat & Safety, 135 Yaguan Rd, Tianjin, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Yuan, Ximin,Zhang, Xingyuan,Tian, Fuchang. Research and application of an intelligent networking model for flood forecasting in the arid mountainous basins[J],2020,13(3).
APA	Yuan, Ximin,Zhang, Xingyuan,&Tian, Fuchang.(2020).Research and application of an intelligent networking model for flood forecasting in the arid mountainous basins.JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT,13(3).
MLA	Yuan, Ximin,et al."Research and application of an intelligent networking model for flood forecasting in the arid mountainous basins".JOURNAL OF FLOOD RISK MANAGEMENT 13.3(2020).