Arid
DOI10.1111/gcb.15187
A lesson unlearned? Underestimating tree cover in dryland biases global restoration maps
Fagan, M. E.
通讯作者Fagan, ME
来源期刊GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
ISSN1354-1013
EISSN1365-2486
出版年2020
卷号26期号:9页码:4679-4690
英文摘要Two recent global maps of tree restoration potential have identified vast regions where tree cover could be increased, ranging from 0.9 to 2.3 billion hectares. Both maps, however, emphasized dryland regions, with arid biomes making up 36%-42% of potential restoration area. Dryland biomes have repeatedly been recognized as inappropriate regions for expanding tree cover due to the risks of biodiversity loss, water overconsumption, and fire, so maps that highlight these regions for restoration must sustain careful scrutiny. Here, I show that both recent attempts to map restoration potential in arid regions have been hindered by underlying errors in the global tree cover maps they used. Systematic underestimates of existing sparse tree cover led directly to large overestimates of the potential for tree recovery in drylands. The Atlas of Forest Landscape Restoration Opportunities (Laestadius et al.,Unasylva, 2011,62, 47) overestimated tree restoration potential across a third of arid biomes by between 7% and 20% (55-166 million hectares [Mha]). Similarly, Bastin, Finegold, Garcia, Mollicone, et al. (Science, 2019, 365, 76) overestimated tree restoration potential across all arid biomes by 33%-45% (316-440 Mha). These inaccuracies limit the utility of this research for policy decisions in drylands and overstate the potential for tree planting to address climate change. Given this long-standing but underappreciated challenge in mapping global tree cover, I propose various ways forward that keep this lesson in mind. To better monitor and restore tree cover, I call for re-interpretation and correction of existing global maps, and for a new focus on quantifying sparse tree cover in drylands and other systems.
英文关键词afforestation desertification dry forests ecosystem restoration forest landscape restoration global forest change grasslands REDD plus remote sensing savannas
类型Article
语种英语
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000544756800001
WOS关键词SEMIARID ECOSYSTEMS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; FOREST ; VARIABILITY ; VEGETATION ; GRASSLANDS ; WOODLANDS ; EXPANSION ; SAVANNAS ; IMAGERY
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/324897
作者单位[Fagan, M. E.] Univ Maryland Baltimore Cty, Dept Geog & Environm Syst, 1000 Hilltop Circle, Baltimore, MD 21250 USA
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Fagan, M. E.. A lesson unlearned? Underestimating tree cover in dryland biases global restoration maps[J],2020,26(9):4679-4690.
APA Fagan, M. E..(2020).A lesson unlearned? Underestimating tree cover in dryland biases global restoration maps.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,26(9),4679-4690.
MLA Fagan, M. E.."A lesson unlearned? Underestimating tree cover in dryland biases global restoration maps".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 26.9(2020):4679-4690.
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