干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Natural discharge changes of the Naryn River over the past 265 years and their climatic drivers

Arid

DOI	10.1007/s00382-020-05323-1
	Natural discharge changes of the Naryn River over the past 265 years and their climatic drivers
	Zhang, Ruibo; Ermenbaev, Bakytbek; Zhang, Heli; Shang, Huaming; Zhang, Tongwen; Yu, Shulong; Chontoev, Dogdurbek Toktosartovich; Satylkanov, Rysbek; Qin, Li
通讯作者	Zhang, RB
来源期刊	CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN	0930-7575
EISSN	1432-0894
出版年	2020
卷号	55 期号:5-6 页码:1269-1281
英文摘要	Originating in the Tianshan Mountains in arid Central Asia, the natural discharge change of the Naryn River is strongly affected by climate change. As the main source of water for the region, this river is crucial to both the natural environment and the socio-economic development. To extend the discharge record and better understand past and future changes in Naryn River discharge, we developed four tree-ring width chronologies and analyzed the relationship between tree growth and discharge. The resulting reconstruction dates back to 1753 and has an R-2 of 0.374 (1939-2017). Interannual discharge variations of the Naryn River indicate that 1917 was the driest year of the past 265 years, while 1956 was the wettest. The record also indicates that the majority of extreme flood years occurred in the past century; prior to about 1900 C.E., the discharge of the Naryn River was relatively stable. Since 1900 C.E., discharge volume has gradually increased, as has discharge variability. At decadal time scales, the 2010s are notable for the frequency of major floods, whereas the 1910s were the driest. Between the 1870s and the 1910s, the Naryn River experienced a period of low discharge that continued for nearly half a century. The discharge of the Naryn River over the past 265 years appears to vary over quasi-periods of 60, 21, 11, and 2-4 years, which are driven by large-scale climate systems.
英文关键词	Tree rings Discharge Tianshan Mountains Central Asia Naryn River Climate change
类型	Article
语种	英语
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000538356100001
WOS关键词	TREE-RINGS ; STREAMFLOW RECONSTRUCTION ; CENTRAL-ASIA ; RADIAL GROWTH ; TIEN-SHAN ; PRECIPITATION ; GLACIER ; BASIN ; VARIABILITY ; MOUNTAINS
WOS类目	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向	Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构	中国科学院大气物理研究所 ; 南京信息工程大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/324659
作者单位	[Zhang, Ruibo] Chinese Acad Sci, Climate Change Res Ctr, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China; [Zhang, Ruibo; Zhang, Heli; Shang, Huaming; Zhang, Tongwen; Yu, Shulong; Qin, Li] China Meteorol Adm, Key Lab Tree Ring Phys & Chem Res, Inst Desert Meteorol, Key Lab Tree Ring Ecol, Urumqi 830002, Xinjiang Uygur, Peoples R China; [Zhang, Ruibo] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Joint Int Res Lab Climate & Environm Change, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster,Minist Educ, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China; [Ermenbaev, Bakytbek; Chontoev, Dogdurbek Toktosartovich; Satylkanov, Rysbek] Natl Acad Sci Kyrgyz Republ, Inst Water Problem & Hydropower, Tien Shan High Mt Res Ctr, Bishkek 720033, Kyrgyzstan
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Zhang, Ruibo,Ermenbaev, Bakytbek,Zhang, Heli,et al. Natural discharge changes of the Naryn River over the past 265 years and their climatic drivers[J]. 中国科学院大气物理研究所, 南京信息工程大学,2020,55(5-6):1269-1281.
APA	Zhang, Ruibo.,Ermenbaev, Bakytbek.,Zhang, Heli.,Shang, Huaming.,Zhang, Tongwen.,...&Qin, Li.(2020).Natural discharge changes of the Naryn River over the past 265 years and their climatic drivers.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,55(5-6),1269-1281.
MLA	Zhang, Ruibo,et al."Natural discharge changes of the Naryn River over the past 265 years and their climatic drivers".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 55.5-6(2020):1269-1281.