Arid
DOI10.1093/conphys/coaa048
Avian mortality risk during heat waves will increase greatly in arid Australia during the 21st century
Conradie, Shannon R.1,2; Woodborne, Stephan M.3,4; Wolf, Blair O.5; Pessato, Anais6; Mariette, Mylene M.6; McKechnie, Andrew E.1,2
通讯作者McKechnie, Andrew E.
来源期刊CONSERVATION PHYSIOLOGY
ISSN2051-1434
出版年2020
卷号8
英文摘要Intense heat waves are occurring more frequently, with concomitant increases in the risk of catastrophic avian mortality events via lethal dehydration or hyperthermia. We quantified the risks of lethal hyperthermia and dehydration for 10 Australian aridzone avifauna species during the 21st century, by synthesizing thermal physiology data on evaporative water losses and heat tolerance limits. We evaluated risks of lethal hyperthermia or exceedance of dehydration tolerance limits in the absence of drinking during the hottest part of the day under recent climatic conditions, compared to those predicted for the end of this century across Australia. Increases in mortality risk via lethal dehydration and hyperthermia vary among the species modelled here but will generally increase greatly, particularly in smaller species (similar to 10-42 g) and those inhabiting the far western parts of the continent. By 2100 CE, zebra finches' potential exposure to acute lethal dehydration risk will reach similar to 100 d y(-1) in the far northwest of Australia and will exceed 20 d y(-1) over > 50% of this species' current range. Risks of dehydration and hyperthermia will remain much lower for large non-passerines such as crested pigeons. Risks of lethal hyperthermia will also increase substantially for smaller species, particularly if they are forced to visit exposed water sources at very high air temperatures to avoid dehydration. An analysis of atlas data for zebra finches suggests that population declines associated with very hot conditions are already occurring in the hottest areas. Our findings suggest that the likelihood of persistence within current species ranges, and the potential for range shifts, will become increasingly constrained by temperature and access to drinking water. Our model adds to an increasing body of literature suggesting that arid environments globally will experience considerable losses of avifauna and biodiversity under unmitigated climate change scenarios.
英文关键词Avian mortality dehydration desert heat waves hyperthermia population declines
类型Article
语种英语
国家South Africa ; USA ; Australia
开放获取类型Green Published, gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000544735800001
WOS关键词EVAPORATIVE COOLING CAPACITY ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TEMPERATURE EXTREMES ; RESTING METABOLISM ; BODY CONDITION ; ZEBRA FINCH ; THERMOREGULATION ; DESERT ; TOLERANCE ; IMPACT
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences ; Physiology
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physiology
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/319464
作者单位1.South African Natl Biodivers Inst, South African Res Chair Conservat Physiol, 2 Cussonia Ave, ZA-0184 Pretoria, South Africa;
2.Univ Pretoria, Dept Zool & Entomol, FitzPatrick Inst, DST NRF Ctr Excellence, Lynnwood Rd, ZA-0002 Pretoria, South Africa;
3.iThemba LABS, 514 Empire Rd, ZA-2193 Johannesburg, South Africa;
4.Univ Pretoria, Mammal Res Inst, Lynnwood Rd, ZA-0002 Pretoria, South Africa;
5.Univ New Mexico, UNM Biol Dept, Albuquerque, NM 87131 USA;
6.Deakin Univ, Sch Life & Environm Sci, Ctr Integrat Ecol, 75 Pigdons Rd, Waurn Ponds, Vic 3216, Australia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Conradie, Shannon R.,Woodborne, Stephan M.,Wolf, Blair O.,et al. Avian mortality risk during heat waves will increase greatly in arid Australia during the 21st century[J],2020,8.
APA Conradie, Shannon R.,Woodborne, Stephan M.,Wolf, Blair O.,Pessato, Anais,Mariette, Mylene M.,&McKechnie, Andrew E..(2020).Avian mortality risk during heat waves will increase greatly in arid Australia during the 21st century.CONSERVATION PHYSIOLOGY,8.
MLA Conradie, Shannon R.,et al."Avian mortality risk during heat waves will increase greatly in arid Australia during the 21st century".CONSERVATION PHYSIOLOGY 8(2020).
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