Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
| DOI | 10.3390/atmos11050437 |
| Spatio-Temporal Trends of Monthly and Annual Precipitation in Aguascalientes, Mexico | |
| Ruiz-Alvarez, Osias1; Singh, Vijay P.2; Enciso-Medina, Juan3; Ernesto Ontiveros-Capurata, Ronald4; Corrales-Suastegui, Arturo1 | |
| 通讯作者 | Ruiz-Alvarez, Osias |
| 来源期刊 | ATMOSPHERE
 |
| EISSN | 2073-4433 |
| 出版年 | 2020 |
| 卷号 | 11期号:5 |
| 英文摘要 | The objective of this research was to analyze the temporal patterns of monthly and annual precipitation at 36 weather stations of Aguascalientes, Mexico. The precipitation trend was determined by the Mann-Kendall method and the rate of change with the Theil-Sen estimator. In total, 468 time series were analyzed, 432 out of them were monthly, and 36 were annual. Out of the total monthly precipitation time series, 42 series showed a statistically significant trend (p <= 0.05), from which 8/34 showed a statistically significant negative/positive trend. The statistically significant negative trends of monthly precipitation occurred in January, April, October, and December. These trends denoted more significant irrigation water use, higher water extractions from the aquifers in autumn-winter, more significant drought occurrence, low forest productivity, higher wildfire risk, and greater frost risk. The statistically significant positive trends occurred in May, June, July, August, and September; to a certain extent, these would contribute to the hydrology, agriculture, and ecosystem but also could provoke problems due to water excess. In some months, the annual precipitation variability and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were statistically correlated, so it could be established that in Aguascalientes, this phenomenon is one of the causes of the yearly precipitation variation. Out of the total annual precipitation time series, only nine series were statistically significant positive; eight out of them originated by the augments of monthly precipitation. Thirteen weather stations showed statistically significant trends in the total precipitation of the growing season (May, June, July, August, and September); these stations are located in regions of irrigated agriculture. The precipitation decrease in dry months can be mitigated using shorter cycle varieties with lower water consumption, irrigation methods with high efficiency, and repairing irrigation infrastructure. The precipitation increase in humid months can be used to store water and use it during the dry season, and its adverse effects can be palliated with the use of varieties resistant to root diseases and lodging. The results of this work will be beneficial in the management of agriculture, hydrology, and water resources of Aguascalientes and in neighboring arid regions affected by climate change. |
| 英文关键词 | climate change global warming climate variability weather stations Mann-Kendall Theil-Sen time series IPCC growing season spring-summer crops |
| 类型 | Article |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 国家 | Mexico ; USA |
| 开放获取类型 | gold |
| 收录类别 | SCI-E |
| WOS记录号 | WOS:000541801900038 |
| WOS关键词 | LONG-TERM TRENDS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PAN EVAPORATION ; RIVER-BASIN ; EL-NINO ; VARIABILITY ; VEGETATION ; IMPACTS ; URBAN ; EXTREMES |
| WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
| 资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/319427 |
| 作者单位 | 1.Inst Nacl Invest Forestales Agr & Pecuarias, Lab Nacl Modelaje & Sensores Remotos, Campo Expt PabellOn, Pabellon De Arteaga 20673, Mexico; 2.Texas A&M Univ, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, College Stn, TX 77843 USA; 3.Texas A&M AgriLife Res, Dept Biol & Agr Engn, Weslaco, TX 78596 USA; 4.Catedra CONACYT, Inst Mexicano Tecnol Agua, Jiutepec 62550, Mexico |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ruiz-Alvarez, Osias,Singh, Vijay P.,Enciso-Medina, Juan,et al. Spatio-Temporal Trends of Monthly and Annual Precipitation in Aguascalientes, Mexico[J],2020,11(5). |
| APA | Ruiz-Alvarez, Osias,Singh, Vijay P.,Enciso-Medina, Juan,Ernesto Ontiveros-Capurata, Ronald,&Corrales-Suastegui, Arturo.(2020).Spatio-Temporal Trends of Monthly and Annual Precipitation in Aguascalientes, Mexico.ATMOSPHERE,11(5). |
| MLA | Ruiz-Alvarez, Osias,et al."Spatio-Temporal Trends of Monthly and Annual Precipitation in Aguascalientes, Mexico".ATMOSPHERE 11.5(2020). |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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