Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1002/joc.6620 |
Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels | |
Wang, Xiaoxin1; Jiang, Dabang1,2,3; Lang, Xianmei1,2 | |
通讯作者 | Jiang, Dabang |
来源期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
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ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2020 |
英文摘要 | In this study, we project the global terrestrial changes in Aridity Index (AI), as defined by the ratio of annual precipitation to potential evapotranspiration (PET), at 2 and 4 degrees C levels of global warming above the preindustrial conditions based on the outputs from 21 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. Compared to the preindustrial period, the global terrestrial annual precipitation will increase by an average of 0.02% (3%), the annual PET will increase by 6% (15%) and AI will decrease by 0.1 (0.2) at the 2 degrees C (4 degrees C) warming level. More remarkable decreases in the annual AI are seen in the northern high latitudes, where will also experience greater increases in PET and precipitation. In general, the seasonal changes in AI display a similar spatial pattern to the annual changes and are characterized by the greatest decrease in December-January-February and the smallest in June-July-August. The largest expansion of drylands occurs in semi-arid regions, followed by the expansion of arid regions, with area changes of 4% (7%) and 3% (4%) under the 2 degrees C (4 degrees C) scenario, respectively. Further analyses indicate that the AI changes are determined by PET in the northern high latitudes, and the contribution of PET to AI increases from the 2 to 4 degrees C warming levels. Furthermore, changes in thermodynamic factors contribute most to the PET, and at a higher level of global warming, the contribution of thermodynamic factors increases and that of dynamic factors decreases. |
英文关键词 | 2 and 4 degrees C levels of global warming Aridity Index subtypes |
类型 | Article ; Early Access |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000531256800001 |
WOS关键词 | 1.5 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CMIP5 SIMULATION ; CHINA ; DROUGHT ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; WATER ; VARIABILITY |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
来源机构 | 中国科学院大气物理研究所 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/319077 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China; 2.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China; 3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Xiaoxin,Jiang, Dabang,Lang, Xianmei. Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels[J]. 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2020. |
APA | Wang, Xiaoxin,Jiang, Dabang,&Lang, Xianmei.(2020).Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY. |
MLA | Wang, Xiaoxin,et al."Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020). |
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