Arid
DOI10.1002/joc.6620
Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels
Wang, Xiaoxin1; Jiang, Dabang1,2,3; Lang, Xianmei1,2
通讯作者Jiang, Dabang
来源期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2020
英文摘要

In this study, we project the global terrestrial changes in Aridity Index (AI), as defined by the ratio of annual precipitation to potential evapotranspiration (PET), at 2 and 4 degrees C levels of global warming above the preindustrial conditions based on the outputs from 21 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 models under the Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. Compared to the preindustrial period, the global terrestrial annual precipitation will increase by an average of 0.02% (3%), the annual PET will increase by 6% (15%) and AI will decrease by 0.1 (0.2) at the 2 degrees C (4 degrees C) warming level. More remarkable decreases in the annual AI are seen in the northern high latitudes, where will also experience greater increases in PET and precipitation. In general, the seasonal changes in AI display a similar spatial pattern to the annual changes and are characterized by the greatest decrease in December-January-February and the smallest in June-July-August. The largest expansion of drylands occurs in semi-arid regions, followed by the expansion of arid regions, with area changes of 4% (7%) and 3% (4%) under the 2 degrees C (4 degrees C) scenario, respectively. Further analyses indicate that the AI changes are determined by PET in the northern high latitudes, and the contribution of PET to AI increases from the 2 to 4 degrees C warming levels. Furthermore, changes in thermodynamic factors contribute most to the PET, and at a higher level of global warming, the contribution of thermodynamic factors increases and that of dynamic factors decreases.


英文关键词2 and 4 degrees C levels of global warming Aridity Index subtypes
类型Article ; Early Access
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000531256800001
WOS关键词1.5 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CMIP5 SIMULATION ; CHINA ; DROUGHT ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACTS ; WATER ; VARIABILITY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
来源机构中国科学院大气物理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/319077
作者单位1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China;
2.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China;
3.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wang, Xiaoxin,Jiang, Dabang,Lang, Xianmei. Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels[J]. 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2020.
APA Wang, Xiaoxin,Jiang, Dabang,&Lang, Xianmei.(2020).Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY.
MLA Wang, Xiaoxin,et al."Future changes in Aridity Index at two and four degrees of global warming above preindustrial levels".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2020).
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