Knowledge Resource Center for Ecological Environment in Arid Area
DOI | 10.1016/j.pce.2020.102838 |
Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets | |
Wu, Shuang1; Wang, Leibin1; Cai, Qixiang2; Yan, Xiaodong1 | |
通讯作者 | Yan, Xiaodong |
来源期刊 | PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH
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ISSN | 1474-7065 |
EISSN | 1873-5193 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 116 |
英文摘要 | Since the Industrial Revolution, greenhouse gas emissions have caused global temperatures to rise gradually. The Paris Agreement aims to limit the global mean surface temperature increase to less than 2.0 degrees C relative to preindustrial levels. China's land area accounts for similar to 7% of the global land (65 (N) over tilde 595) area, and the arid area of China accounts for 12.41% of the total global arid area. Therefore, the degree of aridification/humidification in China is of great significance to climate change in China and the world. This paper evaluates the regional changes of drylands and humid lands in China based on the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C increase targets for global mean surface warming(GMSW). We find a suitable warming target for China's climate from the perspective of aridification. The results show the following: 1) If the global mean surface temperature rises by 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C above preindustrial levels, the mean surface temperature in China will increase by 2.0 degrees C and 2.8 degrees C, respectively. 2) Under the two GMSW targets, the degree of drought in some extremely arid areas in China was projected to decrease, which means that these areas may gradually be suitable for human habitation. 3) Regardless of which global surface temperature target is maintained, the humid lands in China will bear greater risks from warming than the drylands. Under these circumstances, the 1.5 degrees C target will lead to better outcomes for China than the 2.0 degrees C target. |
英文关键词 | Dry and wet area changes Global warming targets Climate change |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000538138500012 |
WOS关键词 | COLD-SEASON ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; DRYLANDS ; DROUGHTS |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources |
来源机构 | 北京师范大学 ; 中国科学院大气物理研究所 |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/318961 |
作者单位 | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wu, Shuang,Wang, Leibin,Cai, Qixiang,et al. Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets[J]. 北京师范大学, 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2020,116. |
APA | Wu, Shuang,Wang, Leibin,Cai, Qixiang,&Yan, Xiaodong.(2020).Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets.PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH,116. |
MLA | Wu, Shuang,et al."Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets".PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH 116(2020). |
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