Arid
DOI10.1016/j.pce.2020.102838
Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets
Wu, Shuang1; Wang, Leibin1; Cai, Qixiang2; Yan, Xiaodong1
通讯作者Yan, Xiaodong
来源期刊PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH
ISSN1474-7065
EISSN1873-5193
出版年2020
卷号116
英文摘要Since the Industrial Revolution, greenhouse gas emissions have caused global temperatures to rise gradually. The Paris Agreement aims to limit the global mean surface temperature increase to less than 2.0 degrees C relative to preindustrial levels. China's land area accounts for similar to 7% of the global land (65 (N) over tilde 595) area, and the arid area of China accounts for 12.41% of the total global arid area. Therefore, the degree of aridification/humidification in China is of great significance to climate change in China and the world. This paper evaluates the regional changes of drylands and humid lands in China based on the 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C increase targets for global mean surface warming(GMSW). We find a suitable warming target for China's climate from the perspective of aridification. The results show the following: 1) If the global mean surface temperature rises by 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C above preindustrial levels, the mean surface temperature in China will increase by 2.0 degrees C and 2.8 degrees C, respectively. 2) Under the two GMSW targets, the degree of drought in some extremely arid areas in China was projected to decrease, which means that these areas may gradually be suitable for human habitation. 3) Regardless of which global surface temperature target is maintained, the humid lands in China will bear greater risks from warming than the drylands. Under these circumstances, the 1.5 degrees C target will lead to better outcomes for China than the 2.0 degrees C target.
英文关键词Dry and wet area changes Global warming targets Climate change
类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000538138500012
WOS关键词COLD-SEASON ; PRECIPITATION ; TEMPERATURE ; DRYLANDS ; DROUGHTS
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
来源机构北京师范大学 ; 中国科学院大气物理研究所
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/318961
作者单位1.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wu, Shuang,Wang, Leibin,Cai, Qixiang,et al. Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets[J]. 北京师范大学, 中国科学院大气物理研究所,2020,116.
APA Wu, Shuang,Wang, Leibin,Cai, Qixiang,&Yan, Xiaodong.(2020).Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets.PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH,116.
MLA Wu, Shuang,et al."Potential impact assessment for China's dry and wet areas under global warming targets".PHYSICS AND CHEMISTRY OF THE EARTH 116(2020).
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