Arid
DOI10.3390/w12010055
Seasonal Rainfall Variability in Ethiopia and Its Long-Term Link to Global Sea Surface Temperatures
Alhamshry, Asmaa1,2; Fenta, Ayele Almaw1; Yasuda, Hiroshi1; Kimura, Reiji1; Shimizu, Katsuyuki3
通讯作者Fenta, Ayele Almaw
来源期刊WATER
EISSN2073-4441
出版年2020
卷号12期号:1
英文摘要Investigating the influence of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) on seasonal rainfall is a crucial factor for managing Ethiopian water resources. For this purpose, SST and rainfall data were used to study a wide range of inhomogeneous areas in Ethiopia with uneven distribution of rainfall for both summer (1951-2015) and spring (1951-2000) seasons. Firstly, a preliminary subdivision of rainfall grid points into zones was applied depending on spatial homogeneity and seasonality of rainfall. This introduced new clusters, including nine zones for summer rainfall peak (July/August) and five zones for spring rainfall peak (April/May). Afterward, the time series for each zone was derived by calculating the rainfall averaged over grid points within the zone. Secondly, the oceanic regions that significantly correlated with the Ethiopian rainfall were identified through cross-correlations between rainfalls averaged over every homogeneous zone and the monthly averaged SST. For summer rainfall as a main rainy season, the results indicated that the Gulf of Guinea and southern Pacific Ocean had a significant influence on rainfall zones at a lag time of 5-6 and 6-7 months. Besides, for summer rainfall zones 8 and 9 at lag time 5-6 months, the common SST regions of the southern Pacific Ocean showed the opposite sense of positive and negative correlations. Thus, the difference in SSTs between the two regions was more strongly correlated (r >= 0.46) with summer rainfall in both zones than others. For the spring season, the results indicated that SST of the northern Atlantic Ocean had a strong influence on spring rainfall zones (3 and 5) at a lag time 6-7 months, as indicated by a significant correlation (r >= -0.40). Therefore, this study suggests that SSTs of southern Pacific and northern Atlantic oceans can be used as effective inputs for prediction models of Ethiopian summer and spring rainfalls, respectively.
英文关键词teleconnections sea surface temperature (SST) cross-correlation peak rainfall arid regions
类型Article
语种英语
国家Japan ; Egypt
开放获取类型gold
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000519847200055
WOS关键词BLUE-NILE BASIN ; SCALE ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; JUNE-SEPTEMBER RAINFALL ; SUMMER RAINFALL ; SOURCE REGION ; LAND-USE ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; SOUTHERN-OSCILLATION ; SPATIAL-DISTRIBUTION ; MANAGEMENT-PRACTICES
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/315696
作者单位1.Tottori Univ, Arid Land Res Ctr, 1390 Hamasaka, Tottori 6800001, Japan;
2.Natl Res Ctr, 33 Elbehooth St, Dokki 12622, Egypt;
3.Tottori Univ, Fac Agr, Minami Ku, 4-101 Koyama Cho, Tottori 6808553, Japan
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Alhamshry, Asmaa,Fenta, Ayele Almaw,Yasuda, Hiroshi,et al. Seasonal Rainfall Variability in Ethiopia and Its Long-Term Link to Global Sea Surface Temperatures[J],2020,12(1).
APA Alhamshry, Asmaa,Fenta, Ayele Almaw,Yasuda, Hiroshi,Kimura, Reiji,&Shimizu, Katsuyuki.(2020).Seasonal Rainfall Variability in Ethiopia and Its Long-Term Link to Global Sea Surface Temperatures.WATER,12(1).
MLA Alhamshry, Asmaa,et al."Seasonal Rainfall Variability in Ethiopia and Its Long-Term Link to Global Sea Surface Temperatures".WATER 12.1(2020).
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