Arid
DOI10.1007/s00704-019-02978-7
A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data
Prajapat, Deepak Kumar; Lodha, Jyoti; Choudhary, Mahender
通讯作者Choudhary, Mahender
来源期刊THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0177-798X
EISSN1434-4483
出版年2020
卷号139期号:1-2页码:447-459
英文摘要It is important to estimate a high-resolution spatiotemporal distribution of temperature rise under climate change for effective adaptation and mitigation planning. This paper studies the threshold crossing time (TCT) for eight Indian warming targets (IWTs) between 1.5 and 5 degrees C based on regional climate models (RCMs) participating in The Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX)-South Asia project. To evaluate the performance of CORDEX experiments in simulating the near-surface mean temperature, the model performance index (MPI) is used which represents that the CanESM experiment performs best for simulating T-mean over India. All India average T-mean projected by the multi-model ensemble (MME) represents that 1.5 degrees C TCT is about 2033 +/- 3 and 2028 +/- 3 in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. During the twenty-first century, Indian subcontinent can experience five IWTs (1.5-3.5 degrees C) under RCP4.5 and all eight under scenario RCP8.5. The fastest warming region in India is the western Himalayan region (North India) and north-west region (Indian Thar Desert).
类型Article
语种英语
国家India
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000511515200030
WOS关键词2 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PRECIPITATION CHANGES ; TEMPERATURE TRENDS ; MODEL DESCRIPTION ; PROJECTIONS ; EXTREMES ; UNCERTAINTIES ; VARIABILITY ; ASYMMETRY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
资源类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/315655
作者单位Malaviya Natl Inst Technol Jaipur, Civil Engn Dept, Jaipur, Rajasthan, India
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Prajapat, Deepak Kumar,Lodha, Jyoti,Choudhary, Mahender. A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data[J],2020,139(1-2):447-459.
APA Prajapat, Deepak Kumar,Lodha, Jyoti,&Choudhary, Mahender.(2020).A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,139(1-2),447-459.
MLA Prajapat, Deepak Kumar,et al."A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 139.1-2(2020):447-459.
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