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DOI | 10.1007/s00704-019-02978-7 |
A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data | |
Prajapat, Deepak Kumar; Lodha, Jyoti; Choudhary, Mahender | |
通讯作者 | Choudhary, Mahender |
来源期刊 | THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0177-798X |
EISSN | 1434-4483 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 139期号:1-2页码:447-459 |
英文摘要 | It is important to estimate a high-resolution spatiotemporal distribution of temperature rise under climate change for effective adaptation and mitigation planning. This paper studies the threshold crossing time (TCT) for eight Indian warming targets (IWTs) between 1.5 and 5 degrees C based on regional climate models (RCMs) participating in The Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX)-South Asia project. To evaluate the performance of CORDEX experiments in simulating the near-surface mean temperature, the model performance index (MPI) is used which represents that the CanESM experiment performs best for simulating T-mean over India. All India average T-mean projected by the multi-model ensemble (MME) represents that 1.5 degrees C TCT is about 2033 +/- 3 and 2028 +/- 3 in RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. During the twenty-first century, Indian subcontinent can experience five IWTs (1.5-3.5 degrees C) under RCP4.5 and all eight under scenario RCP8.5. The fastest warming region in India is the western Himalayan region (North India) and north-west region (Indian Thar Desert). |
类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | India |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000511515200030 |
WOS关键词 | 2 DEGREES-C ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; PRECIPITATION CHANGES ; TEMPERATURE TRENDS ; MODEL DESCRIPTION ; PROJECTIONS ; EXTREMES ; UNCERTAINTIES ; VARIABILITY ; ASYMMETRY |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
资源类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/315655 |
作者单位 | Malaviya Natl Inst Technol Jaipur, Civil Engn Dept, Jaipur, Rajasthan, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Prajapat, Deepak Kumar,Lodha, Jyoti,Choudhary, Mahender. A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data[J],2020,139(1-2):447-459. |
APA | Prajapat, Deepak Kumar,Lodha, Jyoti,&Choudhary, Mahender.(2020).A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,139(1-2),447-459. |
MLA | Prajapat, Deepak Kumar,et al."A spatiotemporal analysis of Indian warming target using CORDEX-SA experiment data".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 139.1-2(2020):447-459. |
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