干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): A Combination Forecasting Strategy for Precipitation, Temperature and Wind Speed in the Southeastern Margin of the Tengger Desert

Arid

DOI	10.3390/su12041489
	A Combination Forecasting Strategy for Precipitation, Temperature and Wind Speed in the Southeastern Margin of the Tengger Desert
	Fu, Tonglin 1,2; Li, Xinrong1
通讯作者	Li, Xinrong
来源期刊	SUSTAINABILITY
EISSN	2071-1050
出版年	2020
卷号	12 期号:4
英文摘要	Global warming is inevitably the cause of local climate change, which will have a profound impact on regional ecology, especially in the desertified steppe and steppefied desert transition zones with fragile ecological environments. In order to investigate the change trends of precipitation, temperature and wind speed for effectively realizing the restoration and protection of desert ecosystems, a combination forecasting strategy including the data pre-processing technique, sub-models selection and parameter optimization was proposed and three numerical simulation experiments based on the combination model with the weights optimized by the particle swarm optimization algorithm were designed to forecast the precipitation, temperature and wind speed in the southeastern margin of the Tengger Desert in China. Numerical results showed that the proposed combination prediction method has higher forecasting accuracy and better robustness than single neural network models and hybrid models. The proposed method is beneficial to analyze climate change in arid regions.
英文关键词	precipitation prediction variational mode decomposition particle swarm optimization algorithm combination model the Tengger Desert biological soil crust
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Peoples R China
开放获取类型	gold
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000522460200207
WOS关键词	BIOLOGICAL SOIL CRUSTS ; EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION ; VEGETATION ; ALGORITHM ; PREDICTION ; ECOSYSTEM ; PATTERNS
WOS类目	Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向	Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/315625
作者单位	1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Shapotou Desert Res & Expt Stn, Lanzhou 730000, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Fu, Tonglin,Li, Xinrong. A Combination Forecasting Strategy for Precipitation, Temperature and Wind Speed in the Southeastern Margin of the Tengger Desert[J],2020,12(4).
APA	Fu, Tonglin,&Li, Xinrong.(2020).A Combination Forecasting Strategy for Precipitation, Temperature and Wind Speed in the Southeastern Margin of the Tengger Desert.SUSTAINABILITY,12(4).
MLA	Fu, Tonglin,et al."A Combination Forecasting Strategy for Precipitation, Temperature and Wind Speed in the Southeastern Margin of the Tengger Desert".SUSTAINABILITY 12.4(2020).