干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Development of optimal water supply plan using integrated fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy ELECTRE III methods-Case study of the Gamasiab basin

Arid

DOI	10.1111/exsy.12568
	Development of optimal water supply plan using integrated fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy ELECTRE III methods-Case study of the Gamasiab basin
	Noori, Amir 1; Bonakdari, Hossein 2; Morovati, Khosro 3; Gharabaghi, Bahram 4
通讯作者	Bonakdari, Hossein
来源期刊	EXPERT SYSTEMS
ISSN	0266-4720
EISSN	1468-0394
出版年	2020
卷号	37 期号:5
英文摘要	This paper presents a novel method for the development of an optimal water supply plan showcased using data from the Gamasiab basin, located in Kermanshah province, Iran, concerning new dams that are being constructed in this semi-arid region. In this paper, a new group multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) plan is proposed by combining two MCDM methods based on the fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy ELECTRE III methods that convert the experts' opinions to triangular fuzzy numbers based on the level of uncertainty associated with various quantitative and qualitative criteria. Considering the opinions of four non-stakeholder experts and data analysis using the fuzzy Delphi method, the criteria were evaluated. Then, by analysing the results using the fuzzy ELECTRE III method, the final ranking of scenarios is obtained. A sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the effect of uncertainty on the performance of the decision-making system in scenarios ranking. The total expense, flood control, reservoir capacity and diversion and water transfer played a significant role in selecting the optimal scenario. Additionally, a hydrologic model was developed to evaluate the performance of the optimal scenario in terms of qualitative criteria. The data indicated that there was a good agreement between the results obtained from the hydrological model and the scenario ranking by the employed method. Altogether, a comparison of the proposed method with other MCDM methods, including fuzzy analytic hierarchy process and fuzzy technique for order preference by simulation of ideal solution, indicated that the results of the employed method matched more closely to the local experts' opinion.
英文关键词	basin fuzzy Delphi fuzzy ELECTRE III group decision-making optimal water supply water resources
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Iran ; Canada ; Peoples R China
收录类别	SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号	WOS:000527306800001
WOS关键词	GROUP DECISION-MAKING ; ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS ; MULTICRITERIA APPROACH ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MANAGEMENT ; AHP ; SELECTION ; CRITERIA ; RANKING ; SYSTEMS
WOS类目	Computer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Computer Science, Theory & Methods
WOS研究方向	Computer Science
来源机构	清华大学
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/314499
作者单位	1.Razi Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Kermanshah, Iran; 2.Univ Laval, Dept Soils & Agrifood Engn, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada; 3.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China; 4.Univ Guelph, Sch Engn, Guelph, ON, Canada
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Noori, Amir,Bonakdari, Hossein,Morovati, Khosro,et al. Development of optimal water supply plan using integrated fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy ELECTRE III methods-Case study of the Gamasiab basin[J]. 清华大学,2020,37(5).
APA	Noori, Amir,Bonakdari, Hossein,Morovati, Khosro,&Gharabaghi, Bahram.(2020).Development of optimal water supply plan using integrated fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy ELECTRE III methods-Case study of the Gamasiab basin.EXPERT SYSTEMS,37(5).
MLA	Noori, Amir,et al."Development of optimal water supply plan using integrated fuzzy Delphi and fuzzy ELECTRE III methods-Case study of the Gamasiab basin".EXPERT SYSTEMS 37.5(2020).