干旱区生态环境知识资源中心(Arid): Sustainability assessment of restoration plans under climate change by using system dynamics: application on Urmia Lake, Iran

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DOI	10.2166/wcc.2018.209
	Sustainability assessment of restoration plans under climate change by using system dynamics: application on Urmia Lake, Iran
	Sarindizaj, Elham Ebrahimi 1,2,3; Zarghami, Mahdi 1,2
通讯作者	Sarindizaj, Elham Ebrahimi
来源期刊	JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN	2040-2244
出版年	2019
卷号	10 期号:4 页码:938-952
英文摘要	During the last decade, Urmia Lake has lost most of its surface area. As a result, finding management practices to restore the sustainable ecological status of Urmia Lake, the world's second largest hyper-saline lake, is imperative. In this study, the sustainability of different plans under climate change was assessed using system dynamics. The plans were evaluated with respect to sustainability criteria including reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability measures. According to the results due to different management practices, on average, water consumption should be reduced by at least 30% to restore the lake. The results revealed that only hybrid plans which incorporate multiple management practices, instead of focusing on just one approach, can be influential. Among the hybrid plans, that of increasing irrigation efficiency, reducing cultivated area, changing crop pattern, and inter-basin water transfer was identified as the most sustainable plan. About eight years after applying this plan, the lake will achieve its ecological level and will remain sustainable. Considering comprehensive factors, the proposed model can help watershed managers to take the necessary measures to restore this vital ecosystem. The results of this study can be applied to water resources systems with the same problem, especially those in semi-arid regions with multidisciplinary aspects.
英文关键词	climate change environmental management modeling system dynamics Urmia Lake
类型	Article
语种	英语
国家	Iran
开放获取类型	Bronze
收录类别	SCI-E
WOS记录号	WOS:000502089700015
WOS类目	Water Resources
WOS研究方向	Water Resources
EI主题词	2019-12-01
资源类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.177/qdio/handle/2XILL650/311087
作者单位	1.Univ Tabriz, Fac Civil Engn, Tabriz, Iran; 2.Univ Tabriz, Inst Environm, Tabriz, Iran; 3.Univ Tehran, Sch Civil Engn, Tehran, Iran
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sarindizaj, Elham Ebrahimi,Zarghami, Mahdi. Sustainability assessment of restoration plans under climate change by using system dynamics: application on Urmia Lake, Iran[J],2019,10(4):938-952.
APA	Sarindizaj, Elham Ebrahimi,&Zarghami, Mahdi.(2019).Sustainability assessment of restoration plans under climate change by using system dynamics: application on Urmia Lake, Iran.JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE,10(4),938-952.
MLA	Sarindizaj, Elham Ebrahimi,et al."Sustainability assessment of restoration plans under climate change by using system dynamics: application on Urmia Lake, Iran".JOURNAL OF WATER AND CLIMATE CHANGE 10.4(2019):938-952.